PnL all-time+$4,064vol $304k
PnL 30d−$85gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$20win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate44.8%adj 45.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,422cash n/a
Positions10 / 284open / all-time
Max drawdown−36.9%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$3,272below peak −$1,348Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 44.8% · shrunk toward 50%13
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity63
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw? · Yesclosed+$1,048Will Trump say "Oval Office" during trophy presentation? · Yesclosed+$954Military action against Iran ends by April 18, 2026? · Yesclosed+$940Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo? · Yesclosed+$682Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5 · Underclosed+$618
Worst markets
Will fewer than 2 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30? · Yesclosed−$676Legends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers · India Tigersopen−$558Will "Instagram" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) · Yesclosed−$448Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? · Noclosed−$394Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts · Western Carolina Catamountsclosed−$377
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers | India Tigers | 1,693 | 83¢ | 50.1¢ | $847 | −$558 | $0 | |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | No | 390 | 89.8¢ | 100¢ | $390 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? | Yes | 779 | 81.3¢ | 49.3¢ | $384 | −$250 | +$24 | |
| ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka | Afghanistan | 718 | 21¢ | 51¢ | $366 | +$215 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 256 | 67.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $244 | +$72 | $0 | |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | No | 129 | 98.1¢ | 98.5¢ | $127 | +$0.45 | −$0.29 | |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 830 | 37¢ | 6.5¢ | $54 | −$253 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 5 | 90¢ | 97.2¢ | $4.86 | +$0.36 | −$31 | |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 97 | 25¢ | 3.8¢ | $3.69 | −$21 | −$2.23 | |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | Yes | 1 | 12¢ | 4¢ | $0.04 | −$0.08 | +$6.07 |
Recent trades
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