sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,567

BigRabbit

0xeb2…808a@BigRabbit_poly
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$116kvol $27.4M
PnL 30d−$45.8kgains $31.2k · losses $33.5k
PnL 7d−$8,727win rate 7d 9.1%
Win rate39.7%adj 40.1% · 30d 41.2%
Open value$135kcash n/a
Positions88 / 2,237open / all-time
Max drawdown−80.6%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$95.2kbelow peak −$84.9kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale72
Adjusted win rateraw 39.7% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity19

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 88

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes83.1k31.3¢21.5¢$17.9k−$8,115−$2,317
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes109k23¢15.2¢$16.5k−$8,505+$2,511
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes76.0k13.2¢11.1¢$8,397−$1,655$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes50.0k19¢15.5¢$7,750−$1,740+$80
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes18.5k29.2¢38.5¢$7,123+$1,724$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes15.3k40.3¢44.5¢$6,794+$639$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No10.0k47¢63.5¢$6,350+$1,650+$150
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes21.0k32.1¢28.5¢$5,989−$759$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes201k2.3¢2.8¢$5,525+$1,004−$1.45
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes34.9k13.3¢15.5¢$5,415+$767$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No10,00039.5¢44.5¢$4,450+$499$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No10,00025.9¢38.5¢$3,850+$1,259$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes20.0k22.5¢19¢$3,800−$700$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Yes10.1k30.9¢33.5¢$3,400+$268$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes5,00054¢61.5¢$3,075+$375$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes11.4k23.5¢26¢$2,957+$289$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes12.5k23¢22.5¢$2,821−$68$0
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes52.5k3.3¢5.4¢$2,811+$1,077$0
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes200k0.9¢1¢$1,902+$10$0
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes94.9k1.6¢1.9¢$1,755+$221$0
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes20.2k9.7¢8.5¢$1,714−$238$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?Yes5,00029.9¢26.5¢$1,325−$168$0
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Yes5,10426¢24.5¢$1,250−$78$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Yes10,00012.3¢11.5¢$1,150−$83−$367
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes10.0k35.2¢8.5¢$850−$2,665−$1,655
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?Yes12.1k6.5¢7¢$848+$61$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?Yes3,03928.5¢25¢$760−$107$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Yes2,50026¢29.5¢$738+$88$0
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Yes2,00039¢36.5¢$730−$50$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes199k1.1¢0.4¢$697−$1,467+$97
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes34.1k17.3¢2¢$682−$5,217$0
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Yes18.0k9¢3.7¢$656−$958$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes15.0k20¢4.2¢$622−$2,377$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?Yes2,22033.4¢26.5¢$588−$154$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat?Yes2,50023.4¢23.5¢$588+$2.50$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?Yes1,00053¢56¢$560+$30$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?Yes2,56816.1¢17.5¢$449+$35$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes2,24115¢19.5¢$437+$101$0
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Yes3,90825¢10.5¢$410−$567$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Yes3,0009¢8.5¢$255−$15$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?Yes1,00026.8¢25.5¢$255−$13$0
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes10.5k1.8¢2.2¢$226+$37$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?Yes50034¢36.5¢$182+$13$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat?Yes1,5669.4¢11¢$172+$24$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?Yes1,00018¢14.5¢$145−$35$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?Yes40933¢34.5¢$141+$6.13$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?Yes21047¢48.5¢$102+$3.15$0
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?Yes17.9k3.2¢0.5¢$98−$474$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Yes9347¢49.5¢$46+$2.32$0
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes15214.1¢21.5¢$33+$11$0
Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?No3187.9¢99.6¢$31+$3.63$0
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes11424¢25.7¢$29+$1.91$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes2278¢10.5¢$24+$5.68$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No26123.7¢8.5¢$22−$40$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No6949¢21.5¢$15−$19$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2,0550.4¢0.5¢$9.25+$1.03$0
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Yes5042¢12¢$6.00−$15$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No567¢95.5¢$4.78+$1.43+$716
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes1527¢29.5¢$4.42+$0.38$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes2613¢13¢$3.42$0$0
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Yes1320¢23.5¢$2.94+$0.44$0
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes455.3¢6.2¢$2.79+$0.41$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?No2,23612¢0.1¢$2.24−$266$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Yes1042¢19.5¢$2.02−$2.33$0
Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Yes435¢42.5¢$1.57+$0.28$0
Will the Atlanta Hawks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes692.1¢2¢$1.38−$0.06$0
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes520¢19.5¢$0.97−$0.02$0
Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes60.1¢0.1¢$0.01$0$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes200k5.4¢0¢$0−$10.7k$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes180k14.4¢0¢$0−$26.0k$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes52.0k16.8¢0¢$0−$8,708+$600
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes27.5k9.6¢0¢$0−$2,650$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes27.3k6¢0¢$0−$1,643+$588
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes25.4k11.3¢0¢$0−$2,879$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?Yes15.2k0.2¢0¢$0−$36$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?Yes10.8k0.2¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?Yes9,3710.2¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?Yes7,6830.5¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?Yes6,7970.3¢0¢$0−$17$0
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes5,48521.5¢0¢$0−$1,179$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?Yes4,2320.6¢0¢$0−$25$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?Yes3,6231.4¢0¢$0−$51$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes2,50011¢0¢$0−$275$0
Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes1,8860¢0¢$0$0$0
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30?Yes50010¢0¢$0−$50$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes5006.4¢0¢$0−$32$0
Will Jalen Duren play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?Yes1521¢0¢$0−$1.52$0
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?No1304¢0¢$0−$5.20$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?10¢5,000$50040%48
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?30¢1,000$30040%48
SELL YesHouthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?9¢6,416$57640%48
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?11¢10.0k$1,10040%48
SELL YesIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?8.5¢1,000$8540%48
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?25.7¢5,049$1,29740%48
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?27¢500$13540%48
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?26.8¢2,000$53640%48
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?24¢2,500$60040%48
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?26¢5,000$1,30040%48
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?26¢220$5740%48
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?23¢1,456$33540%48
SELL YesWill New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?12¢50.0k$6,00040%48
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?25¢114$2840%48
SELL YesWill New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?12¢55.0k$6,60040%48
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?23¢1,000$23040%48
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?30¢6,656$1,99740%48
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?26¢2,500$65040%48
BUY YesHouthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?10¢797$8040%48
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?18¢2,500$45040%48