PnL all-time−$2.57vol $29.6k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate52.4%adj 51.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$570cash n/a
Positions7 / 29open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.2%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2.57below peak −$32Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 52.4% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity97
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on June 9 at 5 PM ET? · Noclosed+$17Will the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $113K on June 3? · Noclosed+$9.86Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? · Noopen+$2.28Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Noclosed+$1.70Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? · Noopen+$1.52
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? · Yesopen−$12Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31? · Yesopen−$5.10Will Si Woo Kim win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship? · Yesopen−$4.95Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? · Yesopen−$3.96Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? · Noclosed−$2.30
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 380 | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $380 | +$2.28 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 190 | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $190 | +$1.52 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 480 | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Si Woo Kim win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship? | Yes | 450 | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.95 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31? | Yes | 440 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.96 | $0 | |
| Will Elon tweet 280–294 times June 20–27? | Yes | 370 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.85 | $0 | |
| Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31? | Yes | 344 | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.10 | $0 |
Recent trades
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