sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,536

Kyoraku

0xeb3…c377
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+CryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$4,148vol $66.4k
PnL 30d+$184gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$70win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate84.1%adj 75.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$6,228cash n/a
Positions22 / 86open / all-time
Max drawdown−23.7%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 13d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$4,545below peak −$131Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 84.1% · shrunk toward 50%90
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d56
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity76

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$2,092Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$1,250Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$1,072Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Noclosed+$670MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Noclosed+$300

Worst markets

Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1? · Yesclosed−$729Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$426Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$288Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$228Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$226

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?No4,16796¢97.3¢$4,054+$54$0
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?No50067¢94.5¢$472+$137$0
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?No29683¢96.5¢$286+$40$0
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?Yes27085.2¢95¢$256+$26$0
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No26274.9¢95.8¢$251+$55$0
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?No23895.4¢98.2¢$234+$6.70$0
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No21189¢95.6¢$202+$14$0
Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?No16793.8¢99.1¢$166+$8.74$0
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No12495.7¢96.7¢$120+$1.18$0
Will Valantis launch a token by December 31, 2026?No11884.4¢81.5¢$97−$3.48$0
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?No5070.1¢98.1¢$49+$14$0
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?No4389¢97.8¢$42+$3.74$0
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,5430.8¢0¢$0−$19−$0.22
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,5385.2¢0¢$0−$133−$1.54
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,5377.4¢0¢$0−$188−$2.32
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,5348.8¢0¢$0−$224−$2.47
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,5338.9¢0¢$0−$225−$2.59
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,5293.4¢0¢$0−$85−$1.04
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,52816.7¢0¢$0−$421−$4.55
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,52611.3¢0¢$0−$285−$3.13
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes10081¢0¢$0−$81−$0.46
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9871.4¢0¢$0−$70−$0.60

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill HYPE flip SOL by December 31?96¢4,167$4,00084%61
BUY NoWill Valantis launch a token by December 31, 2026?84.4¢118$10084%61
BUY YesWill Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?82¢100$8284%61
BUY YesWill France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?82¢100$8284%61
BUY YesWill Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?71.4¢98$7084%61
BUY YesWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?77¢100$7784%61
BUY YesWill England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?71¢100$7184%61
BUY YesWill Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?80¢100$8084%61
BUY YesWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?76¢100$7684%61
BUY YesWill England win on 2026-06-17?57¢100$5784%61
BUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?30.7¢33$1084%61
BUY YesWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?62¢60$3784%61
BUY YesWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?81¢100$8184%61
BUY YesWill Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?85.7¢233$20084%61
BUY YesWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.7¢1,043$7.3084%61
BUY YesWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3.5¢1,029$3684%61
BUY YesWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?5.2¢1,038$5484%61
BUY YesWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?8.1¢1,037$8484%61
BUY YesWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?8.7¢1,034$9084%61
BUY YesWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?9.2¢1,033$9584%61