sharpside
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0xeb6…e362

0xeb6…e362
PnL 10k+WeatherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$14.6kvol $2.87M
PnL 30d−$102kgains $2,441 · losses $2,054
PnL 7d−$10.1kwin rate 7d 28.9%
Win rate28.9%adj 31.8% · 30d 28.9%
Open value$3,318cash n/a
Positions136 / 49,147open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 9s ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$27.2kbelow peak −$45.5kOct 11

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 28.9% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 11?No40985.8¢100¢$409+$58−$23
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on October 11?No37898.2¢100¢$378+$6.72−$82
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 11?No27395.7¢100¢$273+$12−$38
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 11?No26898.1¢100¢$268+$4.84−$43
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 11?No26890.9¢100¢$268+$24−$31
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 11?No25199.9¢100¢$251+$0.20−$45
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on October 11?No24984.2¢100¢$249+$39−$19
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on October 11?No15999.7¢100¢$158+$0.47−$46
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 11?No10599.3¢100¢$105+$0.69−$43
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on October 11?No9299.9¢100¢$92+$0.09−$0.89
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 11?No8699.8¢100¢$86+$0.14−$105
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 11?No8399.8¢100¢$83+$0.12−$125
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 11?No6697.5¢100¢$66+$1.62+$35
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?No5799.9¢99.9¢$57−$0.03−$3.21
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 12?No5799.8¢99.7¢$57−$0.07−$3.19
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 12?No5799.6¢99.5¢$57−$0.04−$3.01
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 12?No5797.9¢98.1¢$56+$0.08−$1.70
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on October 11?No5499.9¢100¢$54+$0.03−$30
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 11?Yes5458.4¢95¢$51+$20−$22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 12?No5784¢85.5¢$49+$0.86+$2.75
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in September?No4496.6¢99.1¢$44+$1.10−$6.12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 12?No5772¢71.5¢$41−$0.31+$6.69
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes3087.5¢91.5¢$28+$1.20−$85
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 12?No5744.1¢43.5¢$25−$0.34+$15
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?No5427.4¢26.4¢$14−$0.51+$845
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes283.8¢41.5¢$12+$11+$35
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 11?No1199.9¢100¢$11+$0.01−$34
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12?No2050¢50¢$10$0$0
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?No1170¢63¢$7.20−$0.80+$49
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?No1048¢70¢$7.00+$2.20$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?No775¢79¢$5.56+$0.28$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?No1241.3¢45.5¢$5.47+$0.50+$27
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No668.2¢73.5¢$4.56+$0.33+$9.21
Will IF Brommapojkarna win on 2026-10-11?Yes18933.3¢2.1¢$3.87−$59$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 11?Yes7232.1¢5¢$3.62−$20+$47
Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes152.2¢20.1¢$2.93+$2.62+$75
Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?Yes5514.3¢5.1¢$2.81−$5.05+$9.29
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?Yes1043.4¢22.9¢$2.29−$2.05$0
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Yes1222.1¢10.3¢$1.25−$1.45$0
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2,4981.2¢0.1¢$1.25−$29+$136
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes420¢29.5¢$1.18+$0.38+$4.21
Will Hong Kong have between 20-40mm of precipitation in October?Yes10314.3¢0.6¢$0.62−$14$0
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes420¢15.4¢$0.61−$0.19$0
Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026?Yes105.4¢5.8¢$0.58+$0.04$0
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Yes122¢4.7¢$0.56+$0.31$0
Will Madhavee Inamdar win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Yes143.3¢4¢$0.55+$0.09$0
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Yes342¢19¢$0.53−$0.65$0
Will Esmerlyn Valdez win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9892.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21$0
Will A.J. Ewing win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9892.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21$0
Will Andrew Painter win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9892.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21$0
Will Robby Snelling win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9892.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21$0
Will Jett Williams win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9892.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21$0
Will Zac Veen win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9892.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21$0
Will TJ Rumfield win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9892.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21$0
Will Owen Caissie win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9892.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21$0
Will Ryan Waldschmidt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9892.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21$0
Will Didier Fuentes win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9892.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21$0
Will Rhett Lowder win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9892.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21$0
Will Justin Crawford win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9892.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21$0
Will Moises Ballesteros win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9892.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21$0
Will Konnor Griffin win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9892.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21$0
Will Jonah Tong win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9892.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21$0
Will Charlie Condon win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9892.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21$0
Will Logan Henderson win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9892.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21$0
Will Bubba Chandler win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9802.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21+$4.30
Will Joshua Baez win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes9782.2¢0.1¢$0.49−$21+$5.26
Will Bryce Eldridge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes8642.2¢0.1¢$0.43−$18$0
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?Yes122¢3.4¢$0.40+$0.16$0
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?Yes122¢3.3¢$0.40+$0.15$0
Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes7302.2¢0.1¢$0.36−$16$0
Will Hong Kong have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?Yes5814.3¢0.6¢$0.35−$7.94$0
Will MUNDO-GB
 win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Yes1315.3¢2.6¢$0.34−$1.65$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 11?Yes544.1¢0.5¢$0.29−$1.91+$86
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on October 11?No4903.1¢0.1¢$0.25−$15+$84
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Yes136.2¢1.8¢$0.23−$0.57$0
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in September?Yes4714.3¢0.5¢$0.23−$6.46+$4.34
Will world GDP growth be 3.4% in 2026?Yes107.8¢2.3¢$0.23−$0.55$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 11?No39929.4¢0.1¢$0.20−$117−$19
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C or higher on October 11?Yes3429.1¢0.1¢$0.17−$31$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 11?Yes3429.1¢0.1¢$0.17−$31$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 11?Yes3429.1¢0.1¢$0.17−$31$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 11?Yes3429.1¢0.1¢$0.17−$31$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C or below on October 11?Yes3429.1¢0.1¢$0.17−$31$0
Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?Yes102.8¢1.4¢$0.14−$0.14$0
Will Michael Coons win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?Yes193.7¢0.7¢$0.13−$0.59+$8.68
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?No19¢10.5¢$0.11+$0.02+$61
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?No15.4¢7.7¢$0.11+$0.03+$176
Will Dave Westlake win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?Yes193.7¢0.5¢$0.11−$0.61+$8.68
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Yes211.8¢4.3¢$0.10−$0.17$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on October 11?Yes910.6¢0.1¢$0.09−$0.44+$75
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Yes145.8¢0.6¢$0.09−$0.74$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on October 11?Yes1560.4¢0.1¢$0.08−$0.51$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on October 11?Yes1511.9¢0.1¢$0.08−$2.85$0
Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond?Yes242¢0.3¢$0.07−$0.42$0
Will Democrats win fewer than 2 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes4714.3¢0.1¢$0.05−$6.67$0
Will Hong Kong have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?Yes2914.3¢0.2¢$0.04−$4.08+$3.62
Nicholas Galitzine announced as next James Bond?Yes352¢0.1¢$0.04−$0.69$0
Will world GDP growth be 3.7%+ in 2026?Yes1026.6¢0.3¢$0.03−$2.63$0
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?Yes520¢0.6¢$0.03−$0.97$0
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in September?Yes5914.3¢0.1¢$0.03−$8.40$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12?50¢20$1029%43
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 11?98.9¢13$1329%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?66.1¢5$3.4029%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 11?0.7¢200$1.4029%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 12?53¢5$2.7029%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 11?11.6¢18$2.1229%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 11?96¢3$3.2729%43
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 11?13.2¢6$0.8129%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 12?96¢2$2.0029%43
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 12?0.4¢24$0.1029%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 12?99.7¢39$3929%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on October 12?99.9¢6$6.1729%43
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 11?0.3¢11$0.0329%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 11?99.9¢15$1529%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C or below on October 12?99.6¢30$2929%43
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 82°F or higher on October 11?0.3¢34$0.1029%43
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 11?94¢10$9.4029%43
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on October 11?0.2¢5$0.0129%43
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 11?3.9¢5$0.1929%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 12?50¢29$1429%43