sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,038

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0xeb6…25f0
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$195kvol $45.8M
PnL 30d+$35.0kgains $84.3k · losses $9,672
PnL 7d+$8,048win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate60.1%adj 59.7% · 30d 73.8%
Open value$95.9kcash n/a
Positions18 / 1,403open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.3%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$237kbelow peak $0Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

71/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 60.1% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes36.2k58.6¢85.7¢$31.0k+$9,813+$26
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No19.8k94.8¢96.5¢$19.1k+$342$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes19.5k94.5¢96¢$18.7k+$291+$235
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9,80064.2¢55.2¢$5,404−$890+$1,731
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No3,83191.3¢95.5¢$3,658+$161+$3,581
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?No4,19274¢77.5¢$3,248+$147+$3.70
US recession by end of 2026?No3,00490.7¢93.5¢$2,809+$85−$214
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes7,00034.8¢28.5¢$1,995−$442$0
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No2,53070¢71.5¢$1,809+$38$0
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No2,00081.5¢89¢$1,780+$150$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes1,92972.5¢81.5¢$1,572+$174+$11
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes1,74981.4¢89¢$1,557+$132$0
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Yes1,73951.8¢83¢$1,443+$543$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No1,00059¢61.5¢$615+$25$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes1,01660.5¢57.9¢$588−$27−$30
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No1,01661¢57.5¢$584−$36$0
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028?No5659.8¢59.5¢$33−$0.15$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No50074¢0¢$0−$370−$3.85

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?61¢1,016$62060%71Sharp
SELL YesWill Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?91¢738$67160%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.4¢2,217$1,87160%71Sharp
SELL NoWill US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?95.2¢2,703$2,57360%71Sharp
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.2¢994$1.5560%71Sharp
SELL NoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?99.7¢1,600$1,59560%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?62¢1,100$68260%71Sharp
BUY NoWill 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?74¢4,085$3,02360%71Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?59¢1,000$59060%71Sharp
SELL NoWill the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?15¢39$5.7960%71Sharp
SELL NoWill the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?16¢2,419$38760%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?60.5¢1,016$61560%71Sharp
BUY NoWill an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?70¢2,530$1,77160%71Sharp
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?41¢0$0.0960%71Sharp
SELL NoWill the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?95¢100$9560%71Sharp
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?92¢1,004$92460%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?61.9¢3,453$2,13660%71Sharp
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?25¢2,258$56560%71Sharp
SELL NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?26¢3,681$95760%71Sharp
BUY Mississippi StateMissouri vs. Mississippi State72¢1,296$93360%71Sharp