PnL all-time−$1,586vol $1.37M
PnL 30d−$1,098gains $17.6k · losses $17.6k
PnL 7d−$1,140win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate66.7%adj 55.2% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$19.0kcash n/a
Positions4 / 15open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 21d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$131below peak −$4,210Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
15/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 66.7% · shrunk toward 50%38
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable39
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d29
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Iran leadership change by August 31? · Yesclosed−$19.5kIran leadership change by September 30? · Yesclosed−$17.6kBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yesclosed−$14.4kExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Noopen−$608Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Noopen−$118
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 18.9k | 59.7¢ | 56.5¢ | $10.7k | −$608 | $0 | |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 8,372 | 75.2¢ | 77.5¢ | $6,488 | +$190 | $0 | |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | 5,955 | 32.5¢ | 30.5¢ | $1,816 | −$118 | $0 | |
| Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 9 | 90.7¢ | 89¢ | $7.93 | −$0.15 | −$91 |
Recent trades
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