sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,853

Billy-Ray

0xec3…a709@BillyRayDeFi
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+WeatherOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,166vol $2.45M
PnL 30d−$5,298gains $2,206 · losses $6,523
PnL 7d+$68win rate 7d 93.3%
Win rate93.4%adj 91.7% · 30d 94.9%
Open value$1,575cash n/a
Positions23 / 1,399open / all-time
Max drawdown−87.9%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,584below peak −$14.2kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 93.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity12

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27? · Upclosed+$1,281S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18? · Downclosed+$1,223Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1? · Yesclosed+$840Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4? · Noclosed+$745Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1? · Noclosed+$452

Worst markets

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18? · Yesclosed−$8,617S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22? · Upclosed−$5,017Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4? · Yesclosed−$3,220Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1? · Yesclosed−$2,275Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18? · Yesclosed−$1,926

Open positions · 23

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 10?No1,57699.9¢100¢$1,575+$0.79$0
Will Djed Spence be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?No3,3947.5¢0¢$0−$254−$58
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on February 20?Yes1,3900.6¢0¢$0−$8.93−$2.54
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 11?No1,02386.7¢0¢$0−$888−$158
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0008.7¢0¢$0−$87−$2.38
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 16?Yes95278.9¢0¢$0−$751$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 7?Yes7112.3¢0¢$0−$17+$3.24
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 11?Yes5240.1¢0¢$0−$0.52−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 8?Yes3939.7¢0¢$0−$38+$3.55
Will Jeff Bezos attend Super Bowl LX?Yes38552¢0¢$0−$200−$247
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETUp3363¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 8?Yes2952.1¢0¢$0−$6.25−$4.43
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on July 25?Yes2750.1¢0¢$0−$0.27+$0.07
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 22?Down20012¢0¢$0−$24$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 10?Yes1670.2¢0¢$0−$0.33−$95
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETDown11983.9¢0¢$0−$100$0
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 16-22?Yes575.1¢0¢$0−$2.94$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 8?Yes5174¢0¢$0−$37−$0.60
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 15?Yes3329¢0¢$0−$9.57−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?No1763.2¢0¢$0−$11$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp1043¢0¢$0−$4.30$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETDown544¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 20?No40.3¢0¢$0−$0.01−$249

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?99.8¢36$3693%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 10?99.8¢71$7193%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 10?97.4¢65$6493%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 10?99.9¢60$6093%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 10?99.8¢481$48093%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 10?78¢6$4.8093%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 10?99.9¢1,277$1,27593%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 9?99.9¢974$97393%61
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8?99¢30$3093%61
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8?99.1¢151$14993%61
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8?99.4¢258$25693%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8?99¢238$23693%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8?98.9¢37$3793%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8?98.8¢100$9993%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8?97.5¢21$2093%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8?97.9¢409$40093%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8?99.8¢40$4093%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8?99.9¢220$22093%61
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8?99.7¢100$10093%61
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8?0.1¢200$0.2093%61