PnL all-time+$229vol $2,408
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate22.2%adj 36.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$625cash n/a
Positions2 / 20open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.4%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$229below peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale34
Adjusted win rateraw 22.2% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July? · Yesopen+$284Israel military action against Iran before July? · Yesopen+$186Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2-2.4 on Oct 4? · Yesclosed+$17Will the Chiefs beat the Falcons by 4 or more points? · Chiefsclosed+$11Will Qualcomm acquire Intel? · Noclosed+$1.49
Worst markets
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$692024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104 · Yesclosed−$402024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64 · Yesclosed−$40Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$22Israel military action against Iran before June? · Yesclosed−$20
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July? | Yes | 364 | 22¢ | 100¢ | $364 | +$284 | $0 | |
| Israel military action against Iran before July? | Yes | 261 | 29¢ | 100¢ | $261 | +$186 | $0 |
Recent trades
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