sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #7,337

kingnothingKC67

0xec6…d1a9
PoliticsSportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$175vol $15.6k
PnL 30d+$307gains $171 · losses $21
PnL 7d+$161win rate 7d 63.2%
Win rate50.9%adj 50.8% · 30d 51.9%
Open value$2,506cash n/a
Positions101 / 207open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age46dlast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale32
Adjusted win rateraw 50.9% · shrunk toward 50%27
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 91

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?No16568¢82.5¢$137+$24$0
Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes20769.9¢65.5¢$136−$9.11$0
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes20549.9¢62.5¢$128+$26$0
Will Bear Bachmeier be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?No10791.4¢97.7¢$105+$6.74$0
Will Palestine win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?No10383¢98.9¢$102+$16$0
Will Olivia Colman be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes21125¢43¢$91+$38$0
Will The Black Ball win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?No10583.3¢79.9¢$84−$3.62$0
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No31925.3¢25.5¢$81+$0.51$0
Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award?No15363.4¢45.2¢$69−$28$0
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes18932.1¢29¢$55−$5.89$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No6286.2¢87.6¢$54+$0.84$0
Will Marcus Thuram (Inter) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?No6187.4¢87.6¢$54+$0.12$0
Will "Anthony Ippolito" be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes10633¢48.5¢$51+$16$0
Will VCU win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?No5394¢96.6¢$51+$1.34$0
Will Egor Demin win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player?No5293.6¢96.9¢$50+$1.69$0
Will Cameron Williams be the first pick in the 2027 NBA Draft?No5388.2¢94¢$50+$3.07$0
Will Bruno Guimarães win the 2026-27 English Premier League Player of the Season award?No5295¢96¢$49+$0.52$0
Will Jeremy Strong be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No5285.8¢93.5¢$49+$3.97$0
Will Pittsburgh Penguins be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?No5195¢93¢$47−$1.05$0
Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes8254.7¢57.5¢$47+$2.26+$4.51
Will "Musk" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No7255¢64.5¢$46+$6.84$0
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes10646.3¢44¢$46−$2.43$0
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026-27 NHL Presidents' Trophy?No7279.7¢62.9¢$45−$12$0
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No12737.2¢34¢$43−$4.01$0
Will Amanda Seyfried win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes16129¢26.7¢$43−$3.74$0
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes7946.7¢50.5¢$40+$3.02$0
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10535¢34.5¢$36−$0.53$0
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?No5454¢59.6¢$32+$3.00$0
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No13114.4¢23.5¢$31+$12+$16
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?Yes10522¢28¢$29+$6.31$0
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No5256.4¢55.9¢$29−$0.27$0
Will Arvell Reese win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes9115.9¢31.9¢$29+$15+$0.46
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No10421.8¢27.3¢$28+$5.74$0
Will "Wicker" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes5449¢51¢$28+$1.08$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?No2790.7¢91.1¢$25+$0.11+$0.86
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes15616.7¢14.5¢$23−$3.49$0
Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No2880¢79.5¢$22−$0.13−$0.14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes13114.5¢16.8¢$22+$2.94$0
Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?No2783.3¢78.6¢$21−$1.29$0
Will Arch Manning be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?No2285.5¢92.5¢$20+$1.54+$1.81
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 10%-15%?No2869¢69.5¢$20+$0.14+$1.47
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No2171¢92.5¢$19+$4.50$0
Will Centre Party win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?Yes5328¢34¢$18+$3.18$0
Will Trabzonspor win the 2026-27 Süper Lig?Yes1247¢13¢$16+$7.43$0
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes10417¢15¢$16−$2.09$0
Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Yes7520¢18.5¢$14−$1.13$0
Will The Baddest Speechwriter of All win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No1658¢81¢$13+$3.73$0
Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes5218¢24¢$12+$3.12$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 40%-45%?No1572¢84.5¢$12+$1.85$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 55%-60%?No1481.6¢83.4¢$12+$0.25+$1.76
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 5%-10%?Yes479¢22.5¢$11+$6.32$0
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy?No1187¢92.2¢$10+$0.58+$2.09
Will Jesse Minter win the 2026 NFL Coach of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?No1084¢94.9¢$9.77+$1.12$0
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No1084¢91¢$9.29+$0.71$0
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?No1180¢84.5¢$8.89+$0.47$0
Will Dallas Stars be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?No1087¢87¢$8.86$0$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?No1078.9¢88.1¢$8.81+$0.92$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 30% or more?Yes13612.1¢6.5¢$8.78−$7.76$0
Will the Philadelphia 76ers finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Eastern Conference?Yes5216¢16.5¢$8.59+$0.26$0
Will Edmonton Oilers be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?Yes5216¢16.5¢$8.58+$0.26$0
Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?Yes1082¢81.5¢$8.40−$0.05$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 45%-50%?No1175.8¢77¢$8.38+$0.13$0
Will Payton Pritchard win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?Yes2318¢35.9¢$8.35+$4.15+$11
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No8212.9¢9.3¢$7.62−$3.03−$0.55
Will the Dallas Stars record 90+ points?No1088¢7¢$7.53−$1.07$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?No1078¢65.5¢$6.75−$1.29$0
Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No539¢12.5¢$6.65+$1.86$0
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?Yes1059¢53.5¢$5.57−$0.57$0
Will Guitarricadelafuente be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes955¢61.5¢$5.52+$0.58+$7.00
Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Yes705.1¢7.4¢$5.14+$1.54$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes1071¢50.5¢$5.10−$2.07$0
Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?No960¢51¢$4.61−$0.81$0
Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No590.5¢91.6¢$4.60+$0.06−$0.15
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?Yes1175.2¢41.8¢$4.58−$3.66$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes478¢9.7¢$4.51+$0.77$0
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes1029¢43¢$4.48+$1.46$0
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes1057.6¢3.9¢$4.08−$3.87$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No1030¢33.5¢$3.48+$0.36$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes1031¢33¢$3.43+$0.21$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo1143¢30.5¢$3.21−$1.31$0
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes265.2¢7.6¢$1.95+$0.60$0
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1621.3¢1.2¢$1.95−$0.23$0
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes731¢29.5¢$1.92−$0.10−$0.01
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?No290¢85¢$1.79−$0.11−$1.00
Will Caleb Williams have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes229¢8¢$1.76−$0.22$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes1119¢16.5¢$1.75−$0.27$0
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes1031¢13.5¢$1.39−$1.80$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes278.8¢4.5¢$1.21−$1.18$0
Will Sheldon Keefe win the 2026-27 Jack Adams Award?No189.3¢97.4¢$1.17+$0.10+$1.90
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Yes174.4¢82.5¢$1.05+$0.10−$2.87
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes159¢6.5¢$1.00−$0.39$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Sheldon Keefe win the 2026-27 Jack Adams Award?94.9¢1$0.9551%58
SELL NoWill Jeremy Strong be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?92¢29$2751%58
SELL YesWill the Philadelphia 76ers finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Eastern Conference?19¢52$9.8851%58
BUY NoWill The Black Ball win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?83.3¢105$8751%58
BUY YesWill Amanda Seyfried win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?26.6¢52$1451%58
BUY NoWill the Dallas Stars record 90+ points?8¢108$8.6051%58
BUY NoWill Marcus Thuram (Inter) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?87.4¢61$5451%58
BUY NoWill Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?24¢105$2551%58
SELL NoWill Rasmus Dahlin win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?95.9¢43$4151%58
SELL NoWill "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?26¢136$3551%58
SELL NoWill "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?53¢98$5251%58
SELL YesWill Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?32.7¢83$2751%58
SELL YesWill Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?22¢10$2.2051%58
BUY NoWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?21.8¢104$2351%58
SELL YesWill Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?35¢6$2.1051%58
SELL YesWill Guitarricadelafuente be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?62¢100$6251%58
BUY YesWill Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?49¢49$2451%58
SELL YesWill the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?39¢10$3.9051%58
SELL YesWill Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?22¢10$2.2051%58
BUY NoWill Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?54¢54$2951%58