sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,927

Alpha-Omicron

0xeca…8ccd
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+CryptoPoliticsOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$484vol $24.6k
PnL 30d−$471gains $400 · losses $592
PnL 7d+$14win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate82.4%adj 78.8% · 30d 80.6%
Open value$737cash n/a
Positions31 / 190open / all-time
Max drawdown−49.6%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$604below peak −$570Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale38
Adjusted win rateraw 82.4% · shrunk toward 50%97
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable76
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity50

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? · Noclosed+$799Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? · Yesclosed+$167US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · Yesclosed+$145Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August? · Yesclosed+$142Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? · Noclosed+$82

Worst markets

Trump renames AI by September 30? · Noclosed−$476Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? · Yesopen−$124Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Downclosed−$107Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August? · Yesopen−$102Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Downclosed−$84

Open positions · 31

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes32492.7¢97.4¢$315+$15$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes25379¢81.5¢$206+$6.33$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No23087¢84.5¢$194−$5.75$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No2871¢75.5¢$21+$1.27$0
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10?Yes8032.6¢0¢$0−$21−$1.02
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes3889¢0¢$0−$35−$1.59
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes37532¢0¢$0−$120−$4.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp32913.7¢0¢$0−$45−$0.91
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Yes14369.9¢0¢$0−$100−$1.51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETDown12123.1¢0¢$0−$28−$0.68
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes11228.5¢0¢$0−$32−$1.14
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes8722.9¢0¢$0−$20−$0.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp8471.6¢0¢$0−$60−$1.07
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July?Yes527.7¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.18
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco GiantsSt. Louis Cardinals5087¢0¢$0−$43$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp3277¢0¢$0−$25−$0.40
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 0 FK Bodø/Glimt?Yes306.7¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.09
Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-07-23?No2482¢0¢$0−$20−$0.18
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes2222.8¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.19
Will Trump say "Think About It" during remarks in New York?No1760¢0¢$0−$9.90$0
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes147.2¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown1369.7¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.16
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1282.7¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp1185.4¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETDown1072.7¢0¢$0−$7.00−$0.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETUp780.3¢0¢$0−$6.00−$0.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETUp727.3¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.10
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-07-23?Yes631¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.07
Will Marco Rubio say "Ceasefire" during Fox News: My View appearance?Yes543¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETDown338¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETDown256¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?94¢106$10082%67
SELL YesAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?77¢13$1082%67
SELL YesWill US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?65¢22$1482%67
BUY NoWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?87¢230$20082%67
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?92¢217$20082%67
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?79¢253$20082%67
BUY YesWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?8.8¢114$1082%67
BUY NoWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?98.4¢10$1082%67
BUY YesWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?8.9¢112$1082%67
BUY YesWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?8.9¢112$1082%67
BUY YesWill Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?21.9¢46$1082%67
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?29.1¢3$1.0082%67
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?29.2¢3$1.0082%67
BUY YesWill Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?7.3¢14$1.0082%67
BUY YesWill Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?22.8¢22$5.0082%67
BUY YesWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?10¢50$5.0082%67
BUY YesWill Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?24¢42$1082%67
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?28.5¢105$3082%67
SELL YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)21¢116$2482%67
BUY NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?87¢57$5082%67