sharpside
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Traders/Rank #469

SaylorMoon

0xecb…5da3@FhantomBets
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+SportPoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$434kvol $78.3M
PnL 30d+$52.3kgains $257k · losses $559k
PnL 7d+$42.5kwin rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate48.1%adj 48.2% · 30d 27.2%
Open value$158kcash n/a
Positions44 / 2,512open / all-time
Max drawdown−68.5%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$456kbelow peak −$43.4kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale81
Adjusted win rateraw 48.1% · shrunk toward 50%21
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity32

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 44

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No75.0k67.5¢63.5¢$47.6k−$3,025$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No54.4k67.2¢84.5¢$46.0k+$9,386+$4,682
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No25.9k64¢63.5¢$16.5k−$130+$22
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No12.7k52.3¢93.5¢$11.9k+$5,244+$4,671
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No10,00052¢94.5¢$9,450+$4,250−$769
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes24.2k20.5¢27¢$6,523+$1,579$0
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes6,79076.9¢73.5¢$4,991−$233$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes88.2k7.8¢4.9¢$4,320−$2,576$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes5,37064¢64.5¢$3,463+$27$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes4,95041.6¢53.7¢$2,656+$598$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes5,00040¢42.5¢$2,125+$125$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No5,00039.3¢42.1¢$2,102+$137$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes7377¢77.5¢$57+$0.37$0
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No2070¢71.5¢$14+$0.30$0
Dolphins vs. VikingsDolphins21.6k18¢0¢$0−$3,882$0
Fed rate hike in 2026?No20.6k47¢0¢$0−$9,699−$257
Chargers vs. BillsChargers20.1k25¢0¢$0−$5,022$0
Dolphins vs. 49ersDolphins17.0k11¢0¢$0−$1,870$0
Vikings vs. BuccaneersBuccaneers14.2k48.1¢0¢$0−$6,815$0
Chiefs vs. RaidersRaiders12.5k38¢0¢$0−$4,761$0
Chargers vs. SeahawksChargers11.9k25¢0¢$0−$2,970$0
Eagles vs. TitansTitans11.7k26¢0¢$0−$3,033$0
Colts vs. ChiefsColts10.8k30¢0¢$0−$3,250$0
Spread: Saints (-3.5)Saints9,44149¢0¢$0−$4,626$0
Texans vs. ColtsTexans8,83430.7¢0¢$0−$2,712$0
Rams vs. BroncosRams8,41955¢0¢$0−$4,630$0
Spread: Bills (-7.5)Chargers8,39453¢0¢$0−$4,449$0
Jets vs. BearsJets8,38837¢0¢$0−$3,104$0
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)Dolphins8,35056¢0¢$0−$4,676$0
Cowboys vs. TexansTexans8,33358¢0¢$0−$4,833$0
Packers vs. BuccaneersBuccaneers8,33342¢0¢$0−$3,500$0
Bengals vs. TexansTexans7,21758¢0¢$0−$4,186$0
Spread: Steelers (-2.5)Steelers7,00054¢0¢$0−$3,780−$52
Lions vs. PanthersLions6,00058¢0¢$0−$3,480$0
Packers vs. JetsJets5,91740¢0¢$0−$2,367$0
Falcons vs. SaintsSaints5,66053¢0¢$0−$3,000$0
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Wang Cong5,00036¢0¢$0−$1,800−$58
Penn State vs. NorthwesternPenn State4,50034¢0¢$0−$1,530−$6.73
Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under3,70568¢0¢$0−$2,519−$40
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Buccaneers2,27943.9¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?Yes2,11029.9¢0¢$0−$632−$18
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 160k?No50025¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 100k?No4270.3¢0¢$0−$1.37−$0.05
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 152k?No467¢0¢$0−$3.21−$0.15

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?24.1¢14.1k$3,38548%55
BUY NoWill Clube do Remo win on 2026-10-07?52¢5,000$2,60048%55
BUY YesWill Messi score 1+ goals vs. Benin?91¢3,000$2,73048%55
BUY YesWill Messi score 1+ goals vs. Benin?91¢1,100$1,00148%55
BUY YesWill Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?17¢261$4448%55
BUY YesWill Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?15.6¢6,146$96048%55
BUY YesQuebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?29.9¢2,110$63248%55
BUY SaintsFalcons vs. Saints53¢5,660$3,00048%55
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?64¢5,370$3,43748%55
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?64¢27.0k$17.3k48%55Whale
BUY RaidersChiefs vs. Raiders38¢12.4k$4,71248%55
BUY RaidersChiefs vs. Raiders37¢116$4348%55
BUY 49ersBroncos vs. 49ers52¢12.1k$6,26848%55
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?73¢436$31848%55
BUY DolphinsDolphins vs. Vikings18¢4,899$88248%55
BUY RamsRams vs. Eagles33¢8,333$2,75048%55
BUY RamsRams vs. Eagles38¢625$23848%55
BUY TitansSpread: Ravens (-10.5)49.5¢8,204$4,06248%55
BUY ChargersChargers vs. Seahawks25¢11.9k$2,97048%55
BUY DolphinsDolphins vs. Vikings18¢7,793$1,40348%55