PnL all-time+$257kvol $118M
PnL 30d+$238gains $0.25 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$21win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate55.3%adj 55.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$10.9kcash n/a
Positions2 / 1,068open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.2%of equity peak
Account age5.1ylast trade 9h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$262kbelow peak −$119Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
73/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77
Adjusted win rateraw 55.3% · shrunk toward 50%38
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$94.3kKamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yesclosed+$65.5kWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$63.9kWill Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day? · Yesclosed+$58.8kWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$19.9k
Worst markets
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$30.5kWill Israel invade Lebanon in September? · Yesclosed−$27.9kTrump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet? · Noclosed−$17.5kTrump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? · Noclosed−$17.4kWill Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day? · Noclosed−$16.3k
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 12.4k | 81.4¢ | 84.5¢ | $10.5k | +$380 | +$3,316 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 700 | 61¢ | 62.5¢ | $438 | +$11 | $0 |
Recent trades
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