Traders/Unranked

thisissocool11

0xece…75fa

WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsCulture

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$4,726vol $202k

PnL 30d+$219gains $334 · losses $120

PnL 7d+$4.36win rate 7d 84.6%

Win rate79.8%adj 78.0% · 30d 90.5%

Open value$4,920cash n/a

Positions39 / 362open / all-time

Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak

Account age11molast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$4,759below peak −$5,521Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

44/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 79.8% · shrunk toward 50%95

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025? · Yesclosed+$732 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025? · Yesclosed+$684 Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman? · Yesclosed+$367 Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) · Yesclosed+$285 Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? · Yesclosed+$237

Worst markets

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yesclosed−$1,788 Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? · Noclosed−$1,157 Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,128 Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes? · Yesclosed−$810 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? · Noclosed−$731

Open positions · 39

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	580	98.5¢	99.8¢	$579	+$7.09	$0	ended
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	410	92¢	91.5¢	$375	−$2.05	$0	22d 15h
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	374	92¢	92.3¢	$345	+$0.94	$0	ended
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	354	96¢	96.5¢	$342	+$1.77	$0	22d 15h
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	328	95.7¢	96¢	$314	+$0.98	$0	22d 15h
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31?	Yes	315	99.9¢	99.8¢	$314	−$0.47	$0	19d 15h
Will "Doing Life" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	273	96.7¢	99.3¢	$271	+$6.93	$0	15h 5m
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	Yes	339	75¢	78¢	$264	+$10	$0	3mo
Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	No	265	98.9¢	98.9¢	$262	−$0.24	$0	3d 15h
Will Be My Eyes be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	No	239	99¢	98.6¢	$236	−$1.08	$0	3d 15h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	228	99.7¢	99.7¢	$227	−$0.05	$0	ended
Will Trump Accounts: Official App be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	No	216	99¢	96.2¢	$208	−$6.15	$0	3d 15h
Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?	No	166	99.7¢	99.6¢	$165	−$0.16	$0	ended
Will Sharon Lokedi win the 2026 Women's Chicago Marathon?	No	119	99.9¢	98.4¢	$117	−$1.76	$0	ended
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	101	91.4¢	90.5¢	$91	−$0.90	$0	3mo
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	101	83¢	82.5¢	$83	−$0.50	$0	47d 15h
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	63	95¢	98.3¢	$62	+$2.03	$0	ended
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?	No	60	93.9¢	94.3¢	$57	+$0.21	$0	22d 15h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 12?	No	56	99.7¢	100¢	$56	+$0.14	$0	ended
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	60	94¢	93¢	$56	−$0.60	$0	9mo
Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 12?	No	100	99¢	51.5¢	$52	−$48	$0	ended
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?	Yes	53	98.8¢	97.4¢	$51	−$0.74	$0	ended
Will Sutume Kebede win the 2026 Women's Chicago Marathon?	No	50	99.9¢	99.8¢	$50	−$0.07	$0	ended
Will Megertu Alemu win the 2026 Women's Chicago Marathon?	No	50	99.9¢	98.4¢	$49	−$0.78	$0	ended
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m?	No	40	98.7¢	97.4¢	$39	−$0.55	$0	ended
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 12?	Yes	35	97.9¢	95.8¢	$33	−$0.75	$0	ended
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	34	83¢	82.5¢	$28	−$0.17	$0	3mo
Will Jenee Fleenor (fiddle) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	30	89¢	93¢	$28	+$1.20	$0	37d 15h
Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	Yes	51	59¢	53.5¢	$27	−$2.81	$0	19d 15h
Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	30	89¢	83.5¢	$25	−$1.66	$0	ended
Will Renée Good be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	No	20	97.6¢	97.2¢	$19	−$0.08	$0	6mo
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	31	62¢	61.5¢	$19	−$0.15	$0	4mo
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	20	84¢	86.3¢	$17	+$0.46	$0	ended
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	20	74¢	73.5¢	$15	−$0.10	$0	22d 15h
Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	10	99¢	98.1¢	$9.81	−$0.09	$0	15h 5m
OpenAI acquired before 2027?	No	10	97¢	97.4¢	$9.74	+$0.04	$0	3mo
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	15	65¢	63.5¢	$9.53	−$0.23	$0	22d 15h
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	10	91¢	90.5¢	$9.05	−$0.05	$0	22d 15h
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	Yes	5	79¢	74¢	$3.70	−$0.25	$0	3d 15h

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
5h ago	BUY Yes	Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	83¢	101	$84	80%	44
5h ago	BUY Yes	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	62¢	31	$19	80%	44
5h ago	BUY Yes	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	75¢	289	$216	80%	44
5h ago	BUY No	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	74¢	20	$15	80%	44
6h ago	BUY Yes	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	79¢	5	$3.95	80%	44
6h ago	BUY No	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	98.9¢	265	$262	80%	44
6h ago	BUY No	Will Trump Accounts: Official App be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	99¢	216	$214	80%	44
6h ago	BUY No	Will Be My Eyes be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	99¢	239	$237	80%	44
6h ago	BUY No	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 12?	99¢	100	$99	80%	44
6h ago	BUY Yes	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 12?	97.9¢	35	$34	80%	44
6h ago	BUY Yes	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12?	99.8¢	168	$168	80%	44
6h ago	BUY Yes	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12?	99.5¢	60	$59	80%	44
6h ago	BUY No	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 12?	99.7¢	56	$56	80%	44
6h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	97.5¢	135	$131	80%	44
6h ago	BUY Yes	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	92¢	60	$55	80%	44
6h ago	BUY Yes	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	92¢	350	$322	80%	44
6h ago	BUY No	Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?	93.9¢	60	$56	80%	44
6h ago	BUY No	Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	95.7¢	328	$313	80%	44
6h ago	BUY No	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	96¢	354	$340	80%	44
6h ago	SELL No	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	1.2¢	47	$0.55	80%	44