sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,002

0xecf…328a

0xecf…328a
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,206vol $0
PnL 30d+$2,188gains $3,797 · losses $0.03
PnL 7d+$1,144win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate96.8%adj 95.0% · 30d 93.0%
Open value$4,434cash n/a
Positions382 / 882open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age—

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale50
Adjusted win rateraw 96.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?No16164.3¢98.9¢$160+$56$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No13785.9¢85.5¢$117−$0.55$0
Ramp IPO before 2027?No11997.7¢97.8¢$116+$0.08$0
Waymo IPO before 2027?No11898.6¢98.1¢$115−$0.55$0
Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Yes11590¢97.2¢$112+$8.26$0
Will Bloomberg IPO by March 31, 2027?No12494.7¢89.5¢$111−$6.42$0
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2027?No12086.7¢89.5¢$107+$3.29$0
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No12187.8¢88.5¢$107+$0.79$0
Will Trump say "Vegan" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?No12387.1¢85.5¢$105−$1.91$0
Remote IPO before 2027?No10898.7¢96.5¢$104−$2.41$0
Ledger IPO before 2027?No10698.9¢97.7¢$103−$1.36$0
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?No10497.8¢97.4¢$101−$0.44$0
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?No10298.8¢97.9¢$100−$1.00$0
Will Trump say "Dad" or "Daddy" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?No11187¢88.5¢$98+$1.66$0
Will SB Energy IPO by October 31, 2026?No10491.2¢93¢$97+$1.90$0
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?No10098.8¢96.6¢$96−$2.27$0
Rippling IPO before 2027?No9998.2¢96.3¢$96−$1.87$0
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?No10988.2¢86.5¢$95−$1.82$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?No11080.7¢84.5¢$93+$4.20$0
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by December 31, 2026?No9594.9¢98.4¢$93+$3.25$0
Will Trump say "Steel" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Yes10990¢84¢$92−$6.56$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?No11977.1¢76.5¢$91−$0.71$0
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?No10389¢85.5¢$88−$3.61$0
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?No9788.7¢89.5¢$87+$0.79$0
Celonis IPO before 2027?No8997.8¢97.1¢$87−$0.65$0
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?No8997.8¢96.9¢$86−$0.85$0
Perplexity IPO before 2027?No8997.8¢96¢$86−$1.65$0
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No18154¢47.3¢$86−$12$0
Anduril IPO before 2027?No8797.6¢97.6¢$85+$0.03$0
Will Bloomberg IPO by June 30, 2027?No9889.3¢86.5¢$85−$2.75$0
Will Bloomberg IPO by December 31, 2026?No8797.5¢96.7¢$84−$0.71$0
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?No8698.9¢97.4¢$84−$1.35$0
ByteDance IPO before 2027?No8597.6¢97.9¢$83+$0.24$0
Revolut IPO before 2027?No8598.3¢96.3¢$82−$1.70$0
Epic Games IPO before 2027?No8298.6¢97.9¢$80−$0.61$0
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?No8198.8¢96.7¢$79−$1.78$0
Will Bloomberg IPO by September 30, 2027?No10271¢75.5¢$77+$4.57$0
Canva IPO before 2027?No7598.9¢97.2¢$73−$1.34$0
Will Bloomberg IPO by December 31, 2027?No10370.2¢69.5¢$71−$0.71$0
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?No7382.3¢86.5¢$63+$3.06$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?No7187¢87.5¢$62+$0.36$0
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?No6088.6¢95.7¢$57+$4.23$0
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?No4585¢86¢$38+$0.44$0
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No2292.9¢89¢$19−$0.83$0
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No1768¢85.5¢$15+$3.00$0
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?No1473¢90¢$13+$2.36$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No2547¢49.5¢$12+$0.62$0
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No1392.4¢95.6¢$12+$0.40$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?No1389.8¢90.5¢$12+$0.09$0
Will Algeria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No1293¢98¢$12+$0.59$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No1479¢81.5¢$12+$0.36$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?No1390.1¢90¢$12−$0.02$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?No1393¢90.5¢$12−$0.32$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes1569¢78.5¢$12+$1.40$0
Will the United Arab Emirates join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No1293¢98.2¢$11+$0.60$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No1293¢95.7¢$11+$0.32$0
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2027?No2946¢40¢$11−$1.71$0
Will Oman join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No1291¢97.5¢$11+$0.75$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No1193¢96.7¢$11+$0.42$0
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?No1283¢90.5¢$11+$0.90$0
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026?No1190¢97.8¢$11+$0.86$0
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No1282¢85.5¢$11+$0.43$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No1286¢88.5¢$11+$0.30$0
Will Bahrain join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No1292¢90.5¢$11−$0.17$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes1274¢85.5¢$10+$1.41$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No1283¢90.5¢$10+$0.86$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?No1287¢89.5¢$10+$0.29$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes1666¢63.5¢$10−$0.40$0
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?No1193¢94.5¢$10+$0.16$0
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?No1194¢95.2¢$10+$0.12$0
Will Syria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No1192¢93.5¢$10+$0.16$0
Will Iran join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No1193¢95.3¢$10+$0.24$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?No1287¢87¢$10$0$0
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?No1194.2¢94.6¢$10+$0.04$0
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?No1178¢92.9¢$9.87+$1.58$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?No1191¢89.5¢$9.77−$0.16$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?No1192¢90.5¢$9.73−$0.16$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?No1190¢90.5¢$9.73+$0.05$0
Will Qatar join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No1186¢90.5¢$9.59+$0.48$0
Will Jordan join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No1091¢93.9¢$9.46+$0.29$0
Will Kuwait join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No1081¢95¢$9.38+$1.38$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?No1091.3¢94.5¢$9.34+$0.32$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No1086¢91.5¢$9.33+$0.56$0
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No993¢96.4¢$9.01+$0.32$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?No1088¢87.5¢$8.92−$0.05$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?No1084¢92.5¢$8.90+$0.82$0
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?No1145¢76.5¢$8.77+$3.61$0
Will Somalia join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No992¢96.2¢$8.51+$0.37$0
Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No991¢90.5¢$8.16−$0.05$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?No991¢87¢$7.90−$0.36$0
Kraken IPO by June 30, 2027?No478¢65.5¢$2.71−$0.52$0
Will SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes16519.7¢0¢$0−$32−$1.30
Monterrey Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara TausonEkaterina Alexandrova14162.5¢0¢$0−$88−$1.62
Bucks vs. ThunderThunder11485¢0¢$0−$97−$0.73
Will Trump say "Mental Institution" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Yes10292¢0¢$0−$94−$0.30
Will FC Juárez vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?Yes10229.8¢0¢$0−$30−$1.07
US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur GeaJuan Manuel Cerundolo10176.8¢0¢$0−$78−$0.90
Will Grenada win on 2026-10-05?Yes9663.5¢0¢$0−$61+$18
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?Yes9037¢0¢$0−$33−$1.05
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?Yes8561¢0¢$0−$52−$1.27

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