sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #18,093

arrpadex

0xecf…74e6
SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$3,341vol $132k
PnL 30d−$3,413gains $2,776 · losses $811
PnL 7d−$135win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate43.7%adj 44.0% · 30d 32.7%
Open value$2,265cash n/a
Positions331 / 724open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age55dlast trade 11d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$3,364below peak −$4,107Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 43.7% · shrunk toward 50%10
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable95
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d63
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Manchester United be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League?No27081.8¢91¢$246+$25$0
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No20089¢88.5¢$177−$1.00$0
Will AC Milan qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No33642.1¢41.5¢$139−$2.16$0
Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 Eredivisie?No24140.2¢48¢$115+$19$0
Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No19550.8¢58.5¢$114+$15$0
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?No12085¢81.5¢$98−$4.20$0
Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?No23726.9¢39.5¢$94+$30$0
Will Galatasaray win the 2026-27 Süper Lig?No15154¢59¢$89+$7.57$0
Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A?No21640.5¢38.5¢$83−$4.32$0
Will Genoa be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?No10651.7¢63.5¢$67+$12$0
Will Málaga be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?No17458.6¢36.5¢$64−$38−$24
Will the season series between the Cowboys and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No9641¢60.5¢$58+$19$0
Will Atlético Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?No13648.5¢38.5¢$52−$14−$1.20
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes20023¢25.5¢$51+$5.00$0
Will Elche finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?No5014¢96.8¢$48+$41$0
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?No5579¢78.5¢$43−$0.28$0
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes20018¢19.5¢$39+$3.00$0
Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?No10038¢38.5¢$39+$0.50$0
Will Hayden Patriquin qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No9647¢35.5¢$34−$11$0
Will Mark Sager win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election?No8055¢39¢$31−$13$0
Will Artem Dovbyk (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?No3085.1¢100¢$30+$4.48$0
Will the Seattle Seahawks make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No8235¢31.5¢$26−$2.88−$2.03
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No3339¢78.5¢$26+$13$0
Will Tyra Hurricane Black qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No11444¢21.5¢$25−$26−$2.06
Will Inter Milan reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?No10842¢22¢$24−$22$0
Will Chelsea be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League?No2677¢84.5¢$22+$1.97$0
Will Chuck Norris rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?No3339¢63.5¢$21+$8.03$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Minnesota Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No10819¢18¢$19−$1.08$0
Will Lecce be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?No3653¢53.5¢$19+$0.18−$14
Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album?No13934.9¢13.5¢$19−$30−$19
Will Patrik Schick (Leverkusen) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?No2088.1¢89.9¢$18+$0.36$0
Will Alavés qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No2050¢87.3¢$17+$7.45$0
Will Oliver Tree rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?No10815¢15¢$16$0$0
Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?No10813¢14.5¢$16+$1.62$0
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No10821¢14.5¢$16−$7.02$0
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No10813¢14¢$15+$1.08$0
Will Lille qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No2040¢57¢$12+$3.44−$11
Will the season series between the Ravens and Bengals end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No3955¢27.5¢$11−$11−$0.11
Will Atlético de Madrid qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No3223¢30¢$9.74+$2.27$0
Will Dolly Parton rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?No1777.5¢5.4¢$9.56−$3.79$0
Will Hull City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes1205¢7.8¢$9.36+$3.36$0
Will Arsenal finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No6811.6¢13.5¢$9.18+$1.26+$3.48
Will Bayer Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?No2054¢35.5¢$7.10−$3.70$0
Will Schalke 04 qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes1205¢5.9¢$7.08+$1.08$0
Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes9711¢6.5¢$6.30−$4.39$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?No6111.9¢10.4¢$6.27−$0.94+$0.53
Will Barcelona reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?No3037.4¢20.5¢$6.07−$5.01$0
Will SV Elversberg qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes725¢8.3¢$5.98+$2.38$0
Will Roma finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?No2730¢20.5¢$5.58−$2.58$0
Will Liverpool qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes772¢74.5¢$5.45+$0.18$0
Will Aston Villa qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes2823¢19¢$5.22−$1.10−$1.63
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 10%-15%?Yes2035.2¢25.5¢$5.10−$1.94$0
Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?No17825.2¢2.8¢$4.99−$40−$1.74
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes2036.9¢23.7¢$4.74−$2.64$0
Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1042¢48.5¢$4.73+$0.63−$0.20
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?No544¢83¢$4.52+$2.12$0
Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album?No930.9¢47¢$4.42+$1.51$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes2033¢22¢$4.40−$2.20$0
Will Milan reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League Round of 16?No2020¢21.5¢$4.30+$0.30$0
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Song of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?No2022¢20.5¢$4.10−$0.30$0
Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No1820¢22.5¢$4.08+$0.45−$0.08
Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?No2026¢19¢$3.80−$1.40−$0.20
Will Ivory Coast win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group C?No2847¢13.5¢$3.78−$9.38−$2.40
Will JW Johnson reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No454¢88.5¢$3.27+$1.27$0
Will Arsenal reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?No1087¢3¢$3.24−$4.32$0
Will Christian Alshon qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No2016¢16¢$3.20$0$0
Will Napoli qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No656.8¢56.5¢$3.20−$0.01+$3.39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes750.5¢46.5¢$3.18−$0.28+$0.11
Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?No645¢50.5¢$3.13+$0.34+$3.60
Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A?Yes542¢61.5¢$3.08+$0.97$0
Will Bayern Munich qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No765.3¢4¢$3.04−$0.97$0
Will Gabriel Tardio qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No5416¢5.4¢$2.92−$5.72$0
Will Bologna qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes5012¢5.6¢$2.80−$3.20$0
Will Real Madrid be runner-up in the 2026-27 LaLiga?No733¢39¢$2.79+$0.43$0
Will Everton finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No346¢82.5¢$2.68+$1.19$0
Will Union Berlin qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes337¢8¢$2.64+$0.33$0
Will Kendrick Lamar be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes932¢26¢$2.45−$0.56−$0.72
Will FC Lugano win the 2026-27 Swiss Super League?No472¢62¢$2.21−$0.36$0
Will Joan García (Barcelona) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?No368.2¢76.3¢$2.17+$0.23+$0.98
Will Lindsey Graham rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?No333¢71.5¢$2.15+$1.16$0
Will Como qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No442¢50.5¢$2.13+$0.36+$0.33
Will Monza qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes426.5¢4.7¢$1.95−$0.78$0
Will Liverpool qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No721¢25.5¢$1.87+$0.33$0
Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album?No827¢21.5¢$1.72−$0.44−$11
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No448¢42¢$1.63−$0.23$0
Will Paulo Dybala (Roma) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?No273¢77.5¢$1.60+$0.09$0
Will Paris FC qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes871¢20.5¢$1.57−$3.87$0
Will Manchester City reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?No710¢23.5¢$1.57+$0.90$0
Will Barcelona reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?No557.1¢2.9¢$1.56−$2.32$0
Will Borussia Dortmund be runner-up in the 2026-27 Bundesliga?No332¢50.5¢$1.49+$0.54$0
Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes1613¢9¢$1.44−$0.64$0
Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes2021.7¢7¢$1.44−$2.99−$2.80
Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?No253¢66.5¢$1.41+$0.29$0
Will Sassuolo qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes7112.4¢1.9¢$1.35−$7.46$0
Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes1513¢9¢$1.34−$0.61−$0.03
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No923.9¢14.5¢$1.32−$0.86−$12
Will Napoli reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?No253¢61.5¢$1.31+$0.18$0
Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Yes622¢22.5¢$1.29+$0.03−$2.14
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Yes224¢64¢$1.13+$0.70−$1.46
Will Genoa qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes509¢2.2¢$1.10−$3.40$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL LGD GamingDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A99.9¢220$22044%26
SELL Xtreme GamingGame Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)99.9¢200$20044%26
BUY Team KinetixDota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Team Kinetix - Game 2 Winner9¢59$5.3044%26
BUY AuroraDota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner31¢50$1644%26
BUY YesWill BetBoom Team win BLAST Slam VIII?2.5¢30$0.7544%26
BUY Xtreme GamingDota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner69¢200$13844%26
BUY Xtreme GamingDota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner71¢100$7144%26
BUY Xtreme GamingDota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner82¢67$5544%26
BUY BetBoom TeamDota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 Winner49¢100$4944%26
BUY Team LiquidDota 2: Team Liquid vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner53¢70$3744%26
BUY Xtreme GamingDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A33.9¢100$3444%26
SELL LGD GamingDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner62¢400$24844%26
BUY YesWill Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VIII?3.9¢47$1.8644%26
BUY YesWill PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VIII?30¢20$6.0044%26
BUY Conventus StellarumDota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner66¢218$14444%26
BUY Nemiga GamingDota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner50¢100$5044%26
BUY Yellow SubmarineDota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move - Game 2 Winner42¢30$1344%26
BUY Yellow SubmarineDota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move - Game 2 Winner42¢40$1744%26
BUY Inner CircleDota 2: Inner Circle vs uralan (BO3) - European Pro League Group B54¢42$2344%26
BUY DirebornDota 2: Direborn vs Team Nemesis - Game 4 Winner6¢100$6.0044%26