PnL all-time−$90vol $35.0k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate45.0%adj 47.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$727cash n/a
Positions8 / 29open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.1%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$90below peak −$90Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
18/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 45.0% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will valid votes be more than 38 million in South Korean election? · Noclosed+$1.00"Weapons" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 85–89%? · Noclosed+$0.77Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? · Noopen+$0.60Will Michelle Bachelet come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? · Noclosed+$0.52Will Elon tweet 425–449 times June 6–13? · Noclosed+$0.50
Worst markets
Will Germany win the UEFA Women's Euro? · Yesopen−$63Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Noclosed−$5.10Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? · Yesopen−$4.40Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? · Noclosed−$4.29Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan? · Yesopen−$2.75
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 600 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $600 | +$0.60 | $0 | |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 127 | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $127 | +$0.63 | −$0.26 | |
| Will Germany win the UEFA Women's Euro? | Yes | 602 | 10.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$63 | $0 | |
| Will XRP dip to $1.60 in November? | Yes | 580 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.74 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? | Yes | 400 | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.40 | $0 | |
| Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 358 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.10 | $0 | |
| Will Solana dip to $50 in March? | Yes | 350 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.40 | $0 | |
| Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan? | Yes | 254 | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.75 | $0 |
Recent trades
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