sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Tonymountaina

0xed8…7954
SportCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$5,135vol $221k
PnL 30d+$166gains $563 · losses $223
PnL 7d+$632win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate56.0%adj 55.6% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$7,236cash n/a
Positions41 / 341open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 7d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2,383below peak −$3,832Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 56.0% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d76
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 41

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes4,31655.7¢66.3¢$2,859+$457+$41
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No1,17981¢69.5¢$820−$135$0
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes69392.4¢97¢$672+$32$0
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes90249.9¢61.5¢$555+$105+$11
Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Yes58958.6¢63.5¢$374+$29$0
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes37789.5¢89.2¢$336−$1.08−$11
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No35883.7¢90.4¢$324+$24$0
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No26793.8¢99.2¢$264+$14$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No25977.1¢72.4¢$188−$12+$43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes44660.5¢41.5¢$185−$85−$36
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes22181.3¢60.5¢$134−$46$0
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes11444¢69¢$78+$28$0
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes3,9362¢2¢$77−$3.25$0
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No7790.7¢92.9¢$72+$1.67$0
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No6083.1¢98.4¢$59+$9.18$0
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes6873¢69¢$47−$2.74$0
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes6873¢64¢$44−$6.16$0
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes21319.5¢19.5¢$42+$0.03+$38
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes4884¢78¢$37−$2.86$0
Will Gianluigi Donnarumma (Man City) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season?Yes18013.9¢14.8¢$27+$1.57$0
Will Manchester City finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes3585.4¢62.5¢$22−$8.04$0
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes26713.1¢5.5¢$15−$20+$11
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes806.2¢8¢$6.39+$1.39$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETUp1,92252¢0¢$0−$1,000−$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETUp1,02548.8¢0¢$0−$500−$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp97351.4¢0¢$0−$500−$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown41453.1¢0¢$0−$220−$482
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp36759.9¢0¢$0−$220+$169
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?Yes35728¢0¢$0−$100−$3.60
Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?Yes33625¢0¢$0−$84+$0.66
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes29622.7¢0¢$0−$67+$12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?Yes25040¢0¢$0−$100−$3.00
Will Alexander Zverev Win the Cincinnati Open?Yes21723¢0¢$0−$50−$1.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp18554¢0¢$0−$100−$133
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?Up8956¢0¢$0−$50−$1.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETDown5452.8¢0¢$0−$29−$461
Will Petr Yan fight Sean O’Malley next?Yes5025¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?Yes3745.6¢0¢$0−$17−$14
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes3429¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.35
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)Ludovit Klein3067¢0¢$0−$20−$0.33
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: Brentford FC O/U 1.5Over2441¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.29

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?73¢50$3756%32
BUY YesWill Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?73¢68$5056%32
BUY YesWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?65¢38$2556%32
BUY YesWill Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?87.6¢114$10056%32
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?53¢189$10056%32
BUY YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?44¢227$10056%32
BUY YesWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?84¢48$4056%32
BUY YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?42.6¢352$15056%32
BUY NoTrump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?76¢53$4056%32
BUY YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?45¢89$4056%32
BUY YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?45.9¢44$2056%32
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?54¢93$5056%32
BUY NoWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?72¢139$10056%32
SELL YesWill Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?23¢391$9056%32
BUY YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?56.3¢178$10056%32
BUY YesWill Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?59¢42$2556%32
BUY YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?56.2¢39$2256%32
SELL YesWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?85¢64$5456%32
BUY YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?56.1¢178$10056%32
BUY YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?55.9¢179$10056%32