PnL all-time+$1,263vol $243k
PnL 30d+$773gains $5,183 · losses $6,260
PnL 7d+$175win rate 7d 47.4%
Win rate48.4%adj 48.6% · 30d 46.9%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions10 / 136open / all-time
Max drawdown−21.6%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 7h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,224below peak $0Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 48.4% · shrunk toward 50%22
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity78
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yesopen+$1,310Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026? · Yesclosed+$894Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesclosed+$878Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yesclosed+$805Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yesclosed+$734
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,273Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Noclosed−$840Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Noclosed−$759Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Noclosed−$757Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Noclosed−$558
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | Yes | 1,019 | 5.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$59 | −$2.78 | |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? | Yes | 561 | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$23 | −$1.10 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | Yes | 505 | 39.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | −$6.04 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? | Yes | 484 | 19.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$95 | −$3.82 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? | Yes | 294 | 14.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$43 | −$1.84 | |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? | Yes | 260 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$62 | +$45 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | Yes | 184 | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.13 | +$1,313 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | Yes | 72 | 69¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | Down | 46 | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Down | 33 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.07 |
Recent trades
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