sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,483

cornishon2

0xede…67e6
CryptoSportOtherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,218vol $160k
PnL 30d−$142gains $863 · losses $948
PnL 7d+$274win rate 7d 64.3%
Win rate55.3%adj 55.0% · 30d 56.1%
Open value$4,343cash n/a
Positions80 / 414open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 30m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$477below peak −$756Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 55.3% · shrunk toward 50%38
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 80

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?No84486.5¢86.8¢$733+$2.56−$1.98
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No95936¢39.5¢$379+$34+$9.29
Will Lecce win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?No38095.8¢98.6¢$374+$11$0
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?No41672.9¢65¢$270−$33+$7.58
Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch?No26676.6¢87.5¢$232+$29$0
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No1,50011¢13.5¢$203+$38−$0.25
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?No35456.7¢47.5¢$168−$33−$0.94
QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?No30867.9¢54.5¢$168−$41−$1.21
Decibel FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes24965.6¢67.1¢$167+$3.61+$2.38
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?No21168.3¢73.5¢$155+$11+$2.32
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes19476¢77.5¢$151+$2.84−$256
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No49522¢25.5¢$126+$17−$421
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No11687.3¢89.5¢$104+$2.58$0
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?No21266.8¢43.5¢$92−$49−$0.92
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?No17150.2¢52¢$89+$3.03−$0.07
Neutrl FDV above $50M one day after launch?No10576¢81¢$85+$5.24+$4.27
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?No10678.1¢77¢$81−$1.19+$1.99
SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch?No9678.3¢81.5¢$78+$3.04−$0.08
APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch?No25512.2¢30¢$77+$45+$10
Betmoar FDV above $50M one day after launch?No8454.9¢79.5¢$67+$21+$0.47
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?No6090.9¢94.8¢$57+$2.30$0
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No5991¢92.5¢$55+$0.87$0
APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch?No12727.1¢39.5¢$50+$16$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes6158¢65.5¢$40+$4.56$0
Dreamcash FDV above $300M one day after launch?No4487¢89.5¢$40+$1.11+$1.02
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No6652¢54.5¢$36+$1.65−$0.99
Neutrl FDV above $100M one day after launch?No4080¢83¢$33+$1.21$0
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?No3590¢94.5¢$33+$1.59+$0.44
Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes13628.3¢23.5¢$32−$6.53$0
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?No3074¢93.8¢$28+$5.92$0
Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?Yes4166¢54¢$22−$4.97+$3.92
Decibel FDV above $100M one day after launch?No3061¢65.5¢$20+$1.35$0
Noble FDV above $100M one day after launch?No2085.6¢87.5¢$17+$0.38−$0.12
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No2069¢71.5¢$14+$0.50$0
Valantis FDV above $20M one day after launch?No2060¢68.5¢$14+$1.70$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?No1190¢94¢$10+$0.43$0
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?No4416.8¢15.8¢$6.98−$0.47−$0.79
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B?Yes2619¢23.6¢$6.14+$1.20−$1.46
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No2479¢24.9¢$5.86−$13−$2.80
Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes2063¢17.2¢$3.38−$9.00−$0.15
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes2012¢15.5¢$3.10+$0.70$0
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes563.5¢5.1¢$2.83+$0.87−$16
Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?No735¢39¢$2.69+$0.28+$0.70
Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2026 AFC South?No376¢82¢$2.50+$0.18$0
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?Yes545¢40.5¢$2.11−$0.23$0
SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes1018¢18.5¢$1.85+$0.05$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?Yes404.4¢3.8¢$1.51−$0.25−$4.39
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?No187¢92.5¢$0.93+$0.06+$0.48
Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch?No184¢91.9¢$0.92+$0.08+$0.46
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No183¢89¢$0.89+$0.06+$7.42
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No181¢87.5¢$0.88+$0.07+$1.06
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes181¢81.5¢$0.81+$0.01−$0.32
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No179¢80.5¢$0.81+$0.01+$1.90
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?No168¢78.5¢$0.79+$0.10+$2.75
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No155¢62.5¢$0.63+$0.08−$3.10
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes160¢60.5¢$0.60+$0.01−$1.13
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes236¢1.9¢$0.44−$0.94+$0.98
Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?Yes122¢24.5¢$0.31+$0.03$0
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes318¢3.5¢$0.10−$0.43+$0.13
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes114¢6.5¢$0.06−$0.08−$0.90
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?Yes11.8¢2.8¢$0.03+$0.01−$1.20
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Yes1,2000.2¢0¢$0−$2.40−$0.12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes2000.2¢0¢$0−$0.40$0
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?No10412.8¢0¢$0−$13+$1.97
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes1002.1¢0¢$0−$2.10−$9.70
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?No1008¢0¢$0−$8.00$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No1000.7¢0¢$0−$0.70$0
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes1000.3¢0¢$0−$0.30$0
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes1000.4¢0¢$0−$0.40$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?No10043¢0¢$0−$43$0
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8238¢0¢$0−$31−$0.58
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No528¢0¢$0−$4.16−$0.19
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5017.8¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.37
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Yes2617.1¢0¢$0−$4.48−$1.81
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?No204¢0¢$0−$0.80$0
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?Yes1342¢0¢$0−$5.46−$0.10
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No1038¢0¢$0−$3.80−$0.07
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?No359.9¢0¢$0−$1.66−$112
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes339¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.02
Will T1 Esports Academy win LCK CL 2026?No137.7¢0¢$0−$0.38+$2.38

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesKraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?2.8¢39$1.0955%36
SELL NoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?80.1¢131$10555%36
BUY NoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?50.4¢132$6655%36
SELL YesWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?7.3¢21$1.5355%36
SELL NoWill Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?80¢365$29255%36
BUY NoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?42¢132$5555%36
SELL YesWill Washington Commanders win the 2026 NFC East?6.9¢38$2.6155%36
BUY NoWill Lovable be acquired before 2027?90.6¢25$2355%36
BUY NoWill Lovable be acquired before 2027?91.2¢34$3155%36
SELL NoWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?78¢1,500$1,17055%36
SELL YesArc FDV above $1B one day after launch?61¢48$2955%36
BUY NoWill Lecce win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?96.1¢180$17355%36
BUY NoWill Lecce win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?95.5¢200$19155%36
SELL NoNeutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch?82.9¢19$1655%36
BUY NoSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?81¢17$1455%36
SELL NoWill Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?88¢65$5755%36
BUY NoWill Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?89¢16$1455%36
SELL NoWill San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West?57¢87$4955%36
SELL NoWill Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?38¢1,399$53255%36
SELL YesAbstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?1.1¢147$1.5755%36