PnL all-time−$237vol $367k
PnL 30d−$5,484gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$12.8kwin rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate0.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$98.8kcash n/a
Positions5 / 5open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 8mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$73.9kbelow peak −$75.6kOct 11
SharpScore inputs
9/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable23
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 366k | 47.1¢ | 27¢ | $98.7k | −$73.6k | $0 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 105 | 20¢ | 100¢ | $105 | +$84 | $0 | |
| Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship? | Yes | 12 | 42.9¢ | 100¢ | $12 | +$6.66 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 31 | 36¢ | 15.5¢ | $4.72 | −$6.28 | $0 | |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 1,000 | 32.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$328 | $0 |
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