PnL all-time−$32.3kvol $9.49M
PnL 30d−$4,513gains $1,178 · losses $343
PnL 7d−$1,132win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate29.6%adj 31.7% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$27.1kcash n/a
Positions4 / 175open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 4d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$26.1kbelow peak −$75.1kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 29.6% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d87
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Noclosed+$83.6kWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · Yesclosed+$62.4kSpurs vs. Thunder · Spursclosed+$28.2kWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? · Noclosed+$21.9kWill Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? · Yesclosed+$14.6k
Worst markets
Will the government shutdown end November 12? · Yesclosed−$80.2kWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · Yesclosed−$43.8kWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed−$40.5kWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · Noclosed−$24.0kStarmer out by May 15, 2026? · Yesclosed−$22.9k
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 348k | 6.2¢ | 7.3¢ | $25.4k | +$3,950 | +$3,331 | |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 133k | 1.6¢ | 1.3¢ | $1,667 | −$516 | $0 | |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | Yes | 3,908 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$39 | $0 | |
| Patriots vs. Seahawks | Patriots | 671 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$356 | −$8.36 |
Recent trades
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