sharpside
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Traders/Rank #302

keasiyo

0xee6…ef38
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$640kvol $22.9M
PnL 30d−$15.0kgains $0 · losses $1,316
PnL 7d−$476win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate67.7%adj 65.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$47.8kcash n/a
Positions136 / 303open / all-time
Max drawdown−28.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 23d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$624kbelow peak −$223kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale83
Adjusted win rateraw 67.7% · shrunk toward 50%65
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d22
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes91.2k39¢22.5¢$20.5k−$15.1k−$3,186
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?Yes30.9k43.7¢29.5¢$9,105−$4,379$0
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes16.0k28.7¢43.5¢$6,979+$2,370$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes37.5k7¢13.2¢$4,930+$2,306−$850
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes100.0k19.5¢4.9¢$4,898−$14.6k$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,1707.7¢7.4¢$600−$29$0
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes3,22922¢11¢$355−$355$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes4,78125¢4.1¢$194−$1,002$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes88.4k0.6¢0.2¢$133−$398+$4.15
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes100.0k0.7¢0.1¢$50−$650$0
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes1,00020¢4.8¢$48−$152$0
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes300k7.6¢0¢$0−$22.8k−$149
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes247k14.1¢0¢$0−$34.8k$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?Yes150k1.3¢0¢$0−$1,948$0
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes109k54.1¢0¢$0−$58.9k−$518
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC100.0k19¢0¢$0−$19.0k$0
Mexico leading at halftime?Yes88.9k26¢0¢$0−$23.1k−$292
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Yes65.8k37¢0¢$0−$24.4k−$460
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?Yes63.6k32¢0¢$0−$20.4k−$415
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador?Yes50.0k16¢0¢$0−$8,000−$202
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire50.0k5¢0¢$0−$2,498−$2.51
Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over48.2k39.4¢0¢$0−$19.0k−$246
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes42.4k11¢0¢$0−$4,669+$3,267
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany40.0k48¢0¢$0−$19.2k−$300
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?Yes40.0k22¢0¢$0−$8,800$0
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5Over40.0k25¢0¢$0−$10,000−$68
Spread: England (-2.5)England40.0k33¢0¢$0−$13.2k$0
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Over40.0k25¢0¢$0−$10,000$0
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes40.0k23¢0¢$0−$9,200$0
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes35.0k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,505$0
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-09?Yes34.1k18¢0¢$0−$6,136−$51
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Over30.0k33.9¢0¢$0−$10.2k−$202
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes30.0k17¢0¢$0−$5,100−$127
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes30.0k28¢0¢$0−$8,400−$181
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?No30.0k37¢0¢$0−$11.1k$0
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico29.5k35¢0¢$0−$10.3k−$166
FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes28.8k56.9¢0¢$0−$16.4k−$48
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Yes28.3k17¢0¢$0−$4,808−$200
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes24.3k5.5¢0¢$0−$1,334$0
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?Yes23.7k17¢0¢$0−$4,024−$22
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?No23.1k15¢0¢$0−$3,468−$72
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?No20.8k17.5¢0¢$0−$3,637−$35
Will Ghana win on 2026-03-30?Yes20.0k6.8¢0¢$0−$1,360$0
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes20.0k29¢0¢$0−$5,800−$124
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5Over20.0k36¢0¢$0−$7,200$0
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-30?Yes20.0k30¢0¢$0−$6,000$0
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?Yes20.0k38¢0¢$0−$7,600$0
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?No20.0k56¢0¢$0−$11.2k−$148
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Over20.0k24¢0¢$0−$4,800−$109
Spread: France (-1.5)France20.0k26¢0¢$0−$5,200$0
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-10?Yes20.0k7¢0¢$0−$1,400−$33
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Yes20.0k12¢0¢$0−$2,400$0
Spread: France (-5.5)France20.0k10¢0¢$0−$2,000$0
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over20.0k53¢0¢$0−$10.6k$0
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Switzerland20.0k16¢0¢$0−$3,200−$0.88
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München20.0k51¢0¢$0−$10.2k$0
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany20.0k20¢0¢$0−$4,000$0
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes20.0k8¢0¢$0−$1,600$0
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5Over20.0k43¢0¢$0−$8,600$0
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)Korea Republic20.0k8¢0¢$0−$1,600−$10
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes19.9k20¢0¢$0−$3,980−$265
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?No19.7k19.5¢0¢$0−$3,829$0
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Under17.9k56¢0¢$0−$10,000$0
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Over17.7k36¢0¢$0−$6,360−$96
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 1 Austria?Yes16.0k19¢0¢$0−$3,034−$74
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes15.7k19¢0¢$0−$2,975−$1,626
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?Yes15.0k16¢0¢$0−$2,400−$60
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany15.0k12¢0¢$0−$1,800−$48
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?Yes15.0k35¢0¢$0−$5,250$0
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5Over13.9k15¢0¢$0−$2,092−$46
FC Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5Over13.7k63.9¢0¢$0−$8,786$0
FC Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreYes12.7k63¢0¢$0−$7,981$0
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Under12.6k20.5¢0¢$0−$2,574$0
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5Over12.0k16¢0¢$0−$1,920−$48
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Under11.3k30.9¢0¢$0−$3,503−$73
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?Yes10.7k21¢0¢$0−$2,250$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes10.2k15.8¢0¢$0−$1,616−$1,577
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München10.2k37¢0¢$0−$3,776$0
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-05?Yes10.2k22¢0¢$0−$2,238$0
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-21?No10.0k27¢0¢$0−$2,700$0
Spread: France (-4.5)France10.0k20¢0¢$0−$2,000$0
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Over10.0k23¢0¢$0−$2,300−$53
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-11?No10.0k12¢0¢$0−$1,200$0
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes10.0k31¢0¢$0−$3,100−$64
Colombia vs. France: O/U 4.5Over10.0k50¢0¢$0−$5,000$0
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes10.0k33.6¢0¢$0−$3,356−$67
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes10.0k16¢0¢$0−$1,600−$40
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes10.0k17¢0¢$0−$1,700−$42
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?No10.0k19¢0¢$0−$1,900−$46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?No10.0k29¢0¢$0−$2,900$0
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?No10.0k60¢0¢$0−$6,000$0
Will Chelsea vs. Benfica end in a draw?Yes10.0k25¢0¢$0−$2,500$0
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes10,0004.1¢0¢$0−$410$0
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes10,00028¢0¢$0−$2,800$0
Will another company be accused of insider trading?Yes10,00016¢0¢$0−$1,600$0
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Over10,00032¢0¢$0−$3,200$0
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Switzerland10,00039¢0¢$0−$3,900−$6.16
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03?Yes10,00026¢0¢$0−$2,600$0
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?No10,00041¢0¢$0−$4,100$0
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 DR Congo?Yes10,00013¢0¢$0−$1,300−$0.25

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?19.8¢88.9k$17.6k68%66Whale
BUY YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?17¢11.1k$1,88968%66
SELL YesBase FDV above $2B one day after launch?42¢4,588$1,92968%66
BUY NoWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?15¢11.2k$1,68468%66
BUY YesFC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score56.7¢3,426$1,94168%66
BUY YesFC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score55¢494$27268%66
BUY UnderVfL Osnabrück vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 5.550.7¢3,150$1,59968%66
BUY YesWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?80¢119k$94.9k68%66Whale
BUY FC Bayern MünchenSpread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)42¢9,674$4,06368%66
BUY YesWill France win on 2026-07-18?17¢28.3k$4,80868%66
SELL YesWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?40.1¢12.7k$5,08468%66
BUY YesWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?11¢55.1k$6,06468%66
BUY MexicoMexico vs. England: Team to Advance35¢24.3k$8,50568%66
BUY YesMexico leading at halftime?26¢50.7k$13.2k68%66Whale
SELL YesEngland leading at halftime?26¢33.0k$8,57768%66
SELL YesEngland leading at halftime?26¢23.3k$6,06568%66
BUY YesEngland leading at halftime?27¢56.3k$15.2k68%66Whale
SELL YesParaguay vs. France: Draw at halftime?99.9¢30.0k$30.0k68%66Whale
BUY YesParaguay vs. France: Draw at halftime?33¢30.0k$9,90068%66
BUY YesWill Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?37¢65.8k$24.4k68%66Whale