PnL all-time−$48vol $29.9k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate33.3%adj 42.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$900cash n/a
Positions10 / 34open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.9%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$48below peak −$54Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
18/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 33.3% · shrunk toward 50%5
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon tweet 450–474 times June 6–13? · Noclosed+$3.06XRP Up or Down on May 19? · Downclosed+$2.86Will Jalen Williams score the most total points in the NBA Finals? · Noclosed+$1.68Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first? · Noclosed+$0.80Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31? · Noopen+$0.76
Worst markets
Will Bitcoin reach $120K July 28–August 3? · Yesopen−$14Will Ethereum reach $4,300 October 27-November 2? · Yesopen−$9.10Will egg prices be more than $6.25 in April? · Yesclosed−$8.80Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2025 BMW Championship? · Yesopen−$4.80Will Donald Trump issue 50 or more executive orders in May? · Yesclosed−$3.36
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | No | 380 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $380 | +$0.76 | $0 | |
| Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | No | 350 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $350 | +$0.70 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | No | 170 | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $170 | +$0.51 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,300 October 27-November 2? | Yes | 724 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.10 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025? | Yes | 569 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.40 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 21? | Yes | 470 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.35 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K July 28–August 3? | Yes | 468 | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2025 BMW Championship? | Yes | 400 | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.80 | $0 | |
| Will Rikuya Hoshino win the 2025 PGA TOUR 3M Open? | Yes | 250 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.25 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $94,000 on November 11? | Yes | 243 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.20 | $0 |
Recent trades
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