sharpside
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LawrenceWells2244

0xeee…9964@blauvelt16199
PoliticsSportCultureCryptoWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$434vol $265k
PnL 30d−$3.15gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.39win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate51.3%adj 51.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,519cash n/a
Positions29 / 303open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$434below peak −$980Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 51.3% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?No77587¢100¢$775+$101$0
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M PanthersPrairie View A&M Panthers1,43578¢50¢$718−$402$0
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No49399.9¢100¢$493+$0.49$0
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?No37037.2¢100¢$370+$232$0
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?No10085.8¢100¢$100+$14−$34
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?No5398.7¢97.9¢$52−$0.45−$8.24
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?No879¢100¢$7.90+$1.66−$40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes2112¢17.5¢$3.67+$1.16$0
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes670.6¢0.1¢$0.03−$0.35−$0.28
Will "Monkey" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)Yes1,51012¢0¢$0−$181$0
Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?No97323¢0¢$0−$224$0
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)Yes66033¢0¢$0−$218$0
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes46018¢0¢$0−$83+$47
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5Under42571.9¢0¢$0−$306$0
Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?No39612.4¢0¢$0−$49$0
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?No32513.9¢0¢$0−$45$0
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes18914.6¢0¢$0−$28$0
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 9PM ETUp13049¢0¢$0−$64$0
David Baszucki out as Roblox CEO in 2025?Yes1031.2¢0¢$0−$1.24$0
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 10PM ETUp7148¢0¢$0−$34$0
Kraken IPO in 2025?Yes592.6¢0¢$0−$1.53$0
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?Yes3030¢0¢$0−$9.00$0
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?Yes2687.5¢0¢$0−$23+$27
Will Infrared launch a token by June 30 2026?No1931.7¢0¢$0−$6.03$0
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes458¢0¢$0−$2.32$0
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?Yes474¢0¢$0−$2.96$0
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?Yes325¢0¢$0−$0.75−$10
Will Medina win Melodifestivalen 2026?Yes21.3¢0¢$0−$0.03+$5.64
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?Yes112¢0¢$0−$0.12+$4.11

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?66¢90$5951%25
BUY NoWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?87¢775$67451%25
SELL NoWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?66¢313$20751%25
SELL NoWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?66¢364$24051%25
SELL NoWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?71¢237$16851%25
BUY UnderUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.571.9¢425$30651%25
BUY Prairie View A&M PanthersSouthern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers78¢1,435$1,11951%25
BUY NoWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?76¢1,004$76351%25
SELL NoWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?81.1¢339$27551%25
SELL NoWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?81.2¢386$31351%25
SELL NoPakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?75¢16$1251%25
SELL NoPakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?75¢983$73751%25
SELL NoWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?83¢671$55751%25
SELL NoWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?83¢384$31951%25
BUY NoPakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?79¢1,007$79651%25
BUY NoWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?82¢1,055$86551%25
BUY NoWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?85.8¢825$70851%25
SELL NoWill Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-04-12?55¢582$32051%25
SELL NoWill Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-04-12?55¢109$6051%25
BUY NoWill Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-04-12?61¢691$42251%25