Traders/Unranked

Grafschokola2

0xef3…1d61

1y+SportCryptoPolitics

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$2,254vol $229k

PnL 30d+$52gains $832 · losses $1,828

PnL 7d−$70win rate 7d 72.7%

Win rate55.3%adj 55.1% · 30d 39.4%

Open value$1,344cash n/a

Positions24 / 1,998open / all-time

Max drawdown−61.8%of equity peak

Account age1.9ylast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,532below peak −$172Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48

Adjusted win rateraw 55.3% · shrunk toward 50%38

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity38

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$231 Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$230 Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$196 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$184 Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$142

Worst markets

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yesclosed−$254 Nothing Ever Happens: January · Yesclosed−$108 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? · Yesclosed−$104 49ers vs. Rams · Ramsclosed−$103 Will XRP reach $1.80 in February? · Yesclosed−$99

Open positions · 24

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Solana dip to $90 by December 31, 2026?	No	400	69.5¢	65.5¢	$262	−$16	$0	3mo
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$140	299	53.2¢	60.9¢	$182	+$23	+$44	3mo
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	200	80.7¢	82.3¢	$165	+$3.10	$0	25mo
Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	200	75¢	76.5¢	$153	+$3.00	$0	3mo
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	341	56.5¢	37¢	$126	−$66	+$0.83	3mo
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	200	51.3¢	48.4¢	$97	−$5.70	$0	25mo
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	95	28.2¢	93.8¢	$89	+$62	+$134	3mo
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	100	69.6¢	79.5¢	$80	+$9.91	$0	3mo
Ravens vs. Falcons	Ravens	40	38¢	100¢	$40	+$25	$0	ended
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	60	68¢	64.5¢	$39	−$2.10	−$33	3mo
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	360	14.1¢	9¢	$33	−$18	$0	25mo
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	200	15.7¢	15.5¢	$31	−$0.50	$0	25mo
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	100	22¢	17.5¢	$18	−$4.50	$0	3mo
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	157	8.4¢	10.9¢	$17	+$3.96	$0	6mo
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	30	35¢	46.5¢	$14	+$3.42	$0	3mo
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	100	18¢	0¢	$0	−$18	$0	ended
Titans vs. Giants	Titans	100	44¢	0¢	$0	−$44	$0	ended
Bears vs. Packers	Bears	90	42¢	0¢	$0	−$38	−$0.59	ended
Chargers vs. Seahawks	Chargers	50	29¢	0¢	$0	−$15	$0	ended
Falcons vs. Saints	Saints	30	36¢	0¢	$0	−$11	$0	ended
Seahawks vs. Commanders	Seahawks	28	77.5¢	0¢	$0	−$22	−$27	ended
Bengals vs. Steelers	Bengals	25	61¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$16	ended
Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	20	55¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$0.25	ended
Broncos vs. 49ers	Broncos	20	33¢	0¢	$0	−$6.60	$0	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
4h ago	BUY Ravens	Ravens vs. Falcons	38¢	40	$15	55%	56
4h ago	SELL	Broncos vs. Chargers AND Lions vs. Cardinals AND 49ers vs. Seahawks	41.5¢	108	$45	55%	56
4h ago	SELL 49ers	49ers vs. Seahawks	43¢	100	$43	55%	56
5h ago	SELL 49ers	49ers vs. Seahawks	66¢	70	$46	55%	56
5h ago	SELL Chargers	Broncos vs. Chargers	69¢	40	$28	55%	56
5h ago	BUY Broncos	Broncos vs. Chargers	29¢	40	$12	55%	56
6h ago	SELL Lions	Lions vs. Cardinals	88¢	50	$44	55%	56
7h ago	BUY Lions	Lions vs. Cardinals	57¢	50	$29	55%	56
7h ago	BUY 49ers	49ers vs. Seahawks	42¢	70	$29	55%	56
7h ago	BUY Chargers	Broncos vs. Chargers	38¢	40	$15	55%	56
8h ago	BUY	Broncos vs. Chargers AND Lions vs. Cardinals AND 49ers vs. Seahawks	17.8¢	108	$19	55%	56
8h ago	SELL Vikings	Vikings vs. Saints	82¢	70	$57	55%	56
10h ago	BUY Bears	Bears vs. Packers	20¢	30	$6.00	55%	56
10h ago	SELL Jaguars	Eagles vs. Jaguars	27¢	35	$9.45	55%	56
11h ago	BUY Bears	Bears vs. Packers	53¢	60	$32	55%	56
11h ago	BUY Vikings	Vikings vs. Saints	56¢	70	$39	55%	56
11h ago	BUY Patriots	Raiders vs. Patriots	63¢	60	$38	55%	56
12h ago	BUY Jaguars	Eagles vs. Jaguars	57¢	70	$40	55%	56
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?	32¢	70	$22	55%	56
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?	75¢	70	$53	55%	56