sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,442

LatoyaMendoza5181

0xef3…f2bc@Orphan161202
PoliticsOtherSportCultureWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$5,491vol $245k
PnL 30d+$11gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$2.80win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate57.6%adj 57.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,988cash n/a
Positions16 / 265open / all-time
Max drawdown−43.3%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$5,086below peak −$453Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 57.6% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity57

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 16

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?No2,24477.1¢100¢$2,244+$513−$13
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri LankaSri Lanka53679¢49¢$263−$161$0
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?No14658¢100¢$146+$61+$11
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No10488.4¢98.6¢$102+$11$0
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes5379¢100¢$53+$11$0
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?No13646¢33.5¢$46−$17−$12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No4565¢100¢$45+$16+$35
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No9458.5¢39¢$37−$18−$24
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI50734¢4.5¢$23−$150$0
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1869¢92.5¢$17+$4.23$0
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No6616¢9.2¢$6.07−$4.49−$0.34
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes8278¢5¢$4.10−$60−$23
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes4236¢6.5¢$2.73−$12$0
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes430¢4¢$0.16−$1.04+$26
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes815¢0¢$0−$1.20−$31
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?Yes326¢0¢$0−$0.78$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?70¢26$1858%49
SELL NoIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?71¢80$5758%49
SELL NoIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?70¢119$8358%49
SELL NoIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?70¢221$15558%49
SELL NoIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?70¢137$9658%49
SELL YesWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?20¢18$3.6058%49
SELL NoWill Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?38¢9$3.4258%49
SELL NoWill Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?76¢188$14358%49
SELL NoWill Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?77¢208$16058%49
SELL NoWill Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?77¢304$23458%49
SELL NoWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?69¢559$38658%49
SELL NoIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?71¢67$4858%49
SELL NoIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?71¢21$1558%49
SELL NoEpic Games IPO before 2027?81¢8$6.4858%49
SELL NoWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?85¢156$13358%49
SELL NoOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?52¢278$14558%49
SELL NoWill Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?57¢116$6658%49
SELL NoEpic Games IPO before 2027?81¢252$20458%49
BUY NoWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?86¢229$19758%49
BUY NoEpic Games IPO before 2027?80¢260$20858%49