PnL all-time+$10.2kvol $1.71M
PnL 30d−$23.6kgains $6,891 · losses $39.3k
PnL 7d−$1,448win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate81.7%adj 73.8% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$34.0kcash n/a
Positions2 / 62open / all-time
Max drawdown−90.0%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 3d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$11.8kbelow peak −$40.7kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 81.7% · shrunk toward 50%85
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity10
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? · Noclosed+$4,391Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$4,066US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? · Noclosed+$3,976Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? · Noclosed+$3,865 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Noclosed+$3,546
Worst markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$38.8kUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Noclosed−$13.0kUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · Noclosed−$1,116US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · Noopen−$1,054Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? · Noclosed−$965
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 38.4k | 91.2¢ | 88.5¢ | $34.0k | −$1,054 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6,000 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | −$0.60 |
Recent trades
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