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DrunkLeo

0xefa…bdc5@The_Le0
1y+PoliticsWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$281vol $9,148
PnL 30d+$296gains $262 · losses $27
PnL 7d+$123win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 57.1% · 30d 85.7%
Open value$937cash n/a
Positions3 / 11open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.5%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$336below peak −$17Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

34/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale35
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable35
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 3

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Yes57384¢87¢$498+$17+$17
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?Yes52974¢78.5¢$416+$24+$33
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes3176.1¢75¢$23−$0.35$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?86¢38$3275%34
SELL YesWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?80¢408$32675%34
SELL YesWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?78¢50$3975%34
SELL NoWill Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?87¢135$11875%34
SELL YesWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?75.2¢756$56975%34
SELL YesWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?78¢257$20075%34
SELL YesWill Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?85.1¢281$23975%34
SELL YesWill Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?85.1¢63$5475%34
SELL YesWill Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?85¢30$2675%34
SELL YesWill Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?85.4¢70$6075%34
BUY YesWill Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?99.1¢53$5375%34
BUY YesWill Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?89¢50$4575%34
BUY YesWill Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?88¢150$13275%34
BUY YesWill Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?87¢165$14475%34
BUY YesWill Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?80¢24$1975%34
SELL YesWill Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?49.2¢198$9775%34
BUY YesWill Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?84¢369$31075%34
BUY YesWill Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?82¢110$9075%34
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?94¢100$9475%34