PnL all-time−$49vol $37.5k
PnL 30d−$11gains $0 · losses $17
PnL 7d−$11win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate41.7%adj 45.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$400cash n/a
Positions3 / 28open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.8%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$41below peak −$38Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 41.7% · shrunk toward 50%14
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff? · Yesclosed+$35Liverpool wins the Premier League? · Yesclosed+$15Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? · Yesclosed+$6.63Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$5.51Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball? · Yesclosed+$5.33
Worst markets
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024? · Yesclosed−$41Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Yesclosed−$20Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed−$17Will the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference? · Yesclosed−$12Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024? · Yesclosed−$10
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 204 | 98¢ | 98¢ | $200 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 213 | 94¢ | 94¢ | $200 | −$0.11 | $0 | |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | Yes | 2 | 89¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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