sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

topl

0xf00…6221
1y+PoliticsCultureSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,572vol $158k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate51.9%adj 51.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$172cash n/a
Positions69 / 387open / all-time
Max drawdown−97.4%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 1y ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,572below peak −$1,531Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 51.9% · shrunk toward 50%29
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity3

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 69

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No14997¢100¢$149+$4.47+$0.02
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes4074.5¢50¢$20−$9.80$0
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No632¢50¢$2.94+$1.06+$0.94
Will Trump create External Revenue Service before July?Yes82117¢0¢$0−$140+$9.89
Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?Yes67411¢0¢$0−$74$0
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?Yes40012¢0¢$0−$48$0
Yoon in jail before July?Yes2118.1¢0¢$0−$17+$7.01
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025No2008¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?Yes20027¢0¢$0−$54$0
Trump ends taxes on tips in 2025?No19213¢0¢$0−$25−$1.48
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No15524.3¢0¢$0−$38+$1.00
Will Rihanna release an album in 2025?Yes15143¢0¢$0−$65$0
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open?Yes1500.1¢0¢$0−$0.15+$5.04
Karen Read acquitted on all charges?No15037.7¢0¢$0−$56$0
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?No15024¢0¢$0−$36+$2.31
Will Thomas Massie join the America Party?Yes1503.1¢0¢$0−$4.65$0
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?No15085¢0¢$0−$128$0
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?No15062¢0¢$0−$93$0
Will Charles Blé Goudé win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?Yes1500.1¢0¢$0−$0.15$0
Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2025?Yes14576¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?Yes1309¢0¢$0−$12+$6.71
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?Yes11566.5¢0¢$0−$76+$9.42
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No10954¢0¢$0−$59$0
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025 Conn Smythe award?Yes10057¢0¢$0−$57+$2.10
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes10010.8¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31? No10043¢0¢$0−$43$0
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?Yes10067¢0¢$0−$67$0
Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?Yes10074¢0¢$0−$74$0
Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes1004.5¢0¢$0−$4.50$0
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No9752.1¢0¢$0−$51$0
Will the US add between 50k and 99k jobs in May?Yes9144.2¢0¢$0−$40−$9.74
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?No9142¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?No7258.4¢0¢$0−$42−$32
Fetterman out in 2025?Yes7127¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?No7019¢0¢$0−$13$0
Fed rate cut by July meeting?Yes632.7¢0¢$0−$1.71$0
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?No5512.6¢0¢$0−$6.96+$0.25
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes500.1¢0¢$0−$0.05$0
Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in 2025?No500.1¢0¢$0−$0.05$0
Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes5010¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
DeepSeek V4 released before July?Yes4821¢0¢$0−$10+$8.92
OpenAI browser in July?Yes454.9¢0¢$0−$2.20−$9.64
Will England vs. India end in a draw?Yes4416.4¢0¢$0−$7.20+$1.69
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Germany before July?Yes4324¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05-1.09ºC in May 2025?No4035¢0¢$0−$14+$4.56
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Yes3938¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Victor Osimhen sign with a new club during the transfer window?No3616.6¢0¢$0−$5.96+$1.34
Will "Maybe Happy Ending" win the Tony for Best Musical 2025?No3616.5¢0¢$0−$5.92$0
Will Son Heung-min sign with a new club during the transfer window?No2848.6¢0¢$0−$14+$12
Will Sarah Snook win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Play 2025?No2512¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?Yes2416¢0¢$0−$3.77$0
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?No2313.4¢0¢$0−$3.03+$27
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in May?Yes208.5¢0¢$0−$1.72$0
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 21 and July 27?Yes2021.2¢0¢$0−$4.24$0
Will between 16 and 19 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?Yes2027¢0¢$0−$5.40$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Yes2065¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Yes207¢0¢$0−$1.40$0
Will Thomas Partey sign with a new club during the transfer window?No1560.7¢0¢$0−$9.31−$0.42
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No1525¢0¢$0−$3.64−$24
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?Yes124.2¢0¢$0−$0.49+$9.39
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes1134¢0¢$0−$3.72+$15
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?No1067¢0¢$0−$6.70−$5.40
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?No775.7¢0¢$0−$5.30−$3.81
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes716.5¢0¢$0−$1.15−$4.63
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May?No692¢0¢$0−$5.52$0
Will Donald Trump issue 20-24 executive orders in May?Yes413.2¢0¢$0−$0.56$0
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes340¢0¢$0−$1.33$0
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?Yes26¢0¢$0−$0.14$0
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?No150.6¢0¢$0−$0.52+$0.42

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?11¢200$2252%24
SELL NoWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in July?94.9¢48$4652%24
SELL NoFartcoin all time high before August?98.8¢251$24852%24
SELL YesWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?4.4¢141$6.2052%24
SELL NoWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?91¢11$9.6252%24
SELL NoIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?50¢10$5.1752%24
SELL YesIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?23¢16$3.5952%24
SELL YesIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?32.2¢200$6452%24
BUY YesWill there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?82¢131$10852%24
SELL YesIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?53¢200$10652%24
BUY YesIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?53¢200$10652%24
SELL YesIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?61¢200$12252%24
BUY NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?96.4¢149$14452%24
BUY NoWill Pope Leo visit Turkey first?42¢50$2152%24
SELL YesBaldoni x Lively lawsuit dismissed before July?17¢20$3.4052%24
BUY YesYoon in jail before July?8.2¢100$8.2052%24
SELL NoWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Australia before July?78¢41$3252%24
SELL YesWill the Texas Rangers win the AL West Division?13¢50$6.5052%24
SELL NoWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?62.8¢40$2552%24
SELL NoUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?7¢53$3.6952%24