PnL all-time+$1,257vol $257k
PnL 30d−$1.62gains $192 · losses $213
PnL 7d+$147win rate 7d 55.0%
Win rate28.3%adj 29.1% · 30d 29.0%
Open value$324cash n/a
Positions12 / 740open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 28.3% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable96
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? · Yesclosed+$313Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? · Noclosed+$255US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$231Will Iran strike Israel on March 3? · Noclosed+$231Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$226
Worst markets
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? · Noclosed−$348Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026? · Yesclosed−$272Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs · TEAM VISIONclosed−$99Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026? · Yesclosed−$80Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? · Noclosed−$63
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? | No | 124 | 71.7¢ | 82.5¢ | $102 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29? | No | 68 | 22.6¢ | 94.4¢ | $64 | +$49 | $0 | |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | Yes | 287 | 4.4¢ | 21.5¢ | $62 | +$49 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 900 | 5.1¢ | 3.3¢ | $29 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 18? | No | 100 | 3¢ | 17.1¢ | $17 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31? | Yes | 200 | 10.8¢ | 7.2¢ | $14 | −$7.10 | $0 | |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | Yes | 200 | 8¢ | 5¢ | $10 | −$6.00 | $0 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26? | Yes | 40 | 20.5¢ | 22.9¢ | $9.14 | +$0.94 | $0 | |
| Will voter turnout be 78% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 60 | 9¢ | 12¢ | $7.20 | +$1.80 | $0 | |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28? | No | 136 | 6.8¢ | 3.1¢ | $4.14 | −$5.06 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 15¢ | 1.3¢ | $2.50 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14 | 11¢ | 12.5¢ | $1.75 | +$0.21 | $0 |
Recent trades
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