sharpside
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Traders/Rank #10,501

billygod

0xf05…ab54
WeatherPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$8,365vol $326k
PnL 30d−$199gains $458 · losses $654
PnL 7d+$23win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate36.2%adj 36.7% · 30d 39.0%
Open value$460cash n/a
Positions701 / 2,352open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 47m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$8,442below peak −$8,571Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 36.2% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$114Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 9? · Noclosed+$107Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 30? · Yesclosed+$70Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 28? · Yesclosed+$58Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 20? · Yesclosed+$57

Worst markets

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 2? · Yesclosed−$334Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Noclosed−$166Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$155Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$141Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 9? · Yesopen−$99

Open positions · 13

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 15?No64069¢64¢$410−$32$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?No109¢71¢$7.10+$6.20$0
Will Matthew Stafford finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards?Yes1639¢21.5¢$3.44−$2.80−$1.52
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?Yes341.1¢95.1¢$3.14+$1.78+$0.01
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?No369¢82.7¢$2.86+$0.47−$8.86
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?No460¢48.5¢$2.09−$0.50$0
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No381¢62.5¢$1.88−$0.56−$14
Will Swapped be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes7414.1¢2.5¢$1.80−$8.59$0
Will Malin Sjölander be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?Yes2151¢8.5¢$1.78−$8.93$0
Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?No4241¢3.5¢$1.47−$16$0
Will Sean Penn be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes5313¢2.6¢$1.34−$5.49$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?No270¢80¢$1.21+$0.15−$3.57
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes209.5¢5.8¢$1.15−$0.75−$0.01

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 15?67¢121$8136%27
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 13?16.2¢234$3836%27
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 9?67¢10$6.7036%27
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 9?66¢9$5.9636%27
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 9?69¢10$6.9036%27
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 8?92¢35$3236%27
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 8?91.5¢10$9.1536%27
SELL NoKimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?89¢4$3.5536%27
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 6?82¢5$3.8736%27
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 6?83¢5$4.1536%27
SELL YesWill seltzers with 5mg THC be legal on November 13, 2026?95¢3$2.4436%27
SELL NoWill Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?94.7¢3$2.6336%27
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 6?90¢5$4.8136%27
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 6?99.9¢6$6.1636%27
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 7?86¢5$4.3036%27
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 6?36¢6$2.0536%27
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 6?88¢23$2036%27
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 6?30¢6$1.6936%27
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 5?17.4¢13$2.3236%27
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 5?6¢20$1.2036%27