PnL all-time+$1,487vol $60.1k
PnL 30d−$6,319gains $23 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$3,070win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 54.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$20.2kcash n/a
Positions10 / 12open / all-time
Max drawdown−53.3%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 3d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$9,087below peak −$7,225Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable36
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d88
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity47
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026? · Yesopen−$148Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026? · Yesopen−$136Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesopen−$100Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 6? · Yesopen−$100Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 6? · Yesopen−$85
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 29.1k | 30.9¢ | 59¢ | $17.2k | +$8,158 | +$1,690 | |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 7,341 | 38.5¢ | 38.5¢ | $2,826 | −$3.35 | $0 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026? | Yes | 1,594 | 15.1¢ | 6.5¢ | $104 | −$136 | $0 | |
| New pandemic before 2028? | Yes | 533 | 18.8¢ | 14¢ | $75 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026? | Yes | 1,040 | 14.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $2.08 | −$148 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 6? | Yes | 2,297 | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 1,060 | 9.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 6? | Yes | 932 | 9.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$85 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 6? | Yes | 394 | 16.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$64 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 6? | Yes | 182 | 54.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 |
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