| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 30.7k | 86.8¢ | 94.5¢ | $29.0k | +$2,367 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 27.4k | 87.9¢ | 90.5¢ | $24.8k | +$726 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 22.4k | 31¢ | 89¢ | $19.9k | +$13.0k | +$7,728 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 16.3k | 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $13.3k | +$10.3k | +$11.1k | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 14.9k | 73.6¢ | 80.5¢ | $12.0k | +$1,032 | $0 | |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 11.0k | 99.1¢ | 99.4¢ | $10.9k | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 11.4k | 65.3¢ | 87.5¢ | $9,932 | +$2,517 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 10.9k | 78.1¢ | 83.5¢ | $9,102 | +$587 | +$241 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 11.9k | 35.8¢ | 71.3¢ | $8,494 | +$4,223 | +$2,454 | |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | No | 11.4k | 67.1¢ | 71.5¢ | $8,120 | +$498 | +$87 | |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | Yes | 6,863 | 99.3¢ | 99.5¢ | $6,828 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 7,071 | 91.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $6,682 | +$216 | +$102 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.2k | 4.7¢ | 51.4¢ | $6,257 | +$5,686 | +$652 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 36.0k | 6.4¢ | 15.1¢ | $5,417 | +$3,120 | +$236 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 5,116 | 92.2¢ | 95.7¢ | $4,893 | +$179 | +$330 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 5,593 | 48.4¢ | 84.5¢ | $4,726 | +$2,021 | +$3.16 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,874 | 79¢ | 96.7¢ | $4,711 | +$860 | +$566 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 4,383 | 90.3¢ | 88.5¢ | $3,879 | −$79 | $0 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | No | 3,815 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $3,813 | +$37 | +$63 | |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,725 | 91.9¢ | 98.6¢ | $3,671 | +$246 | $0 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 32.6k | 37.2¢ | 10.7¢ | $3,483 | −$8,625 | $0 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,290 | 91.9¢ | 97.5¢ | $3,208 | +$185 | $0 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,814 | 68.1¢ | 76.5¢ | $2,917 | +$321 | $0 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 6,864 | 16.4¢ | 25.5¢ | $1,750 | +$625 | $0 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 9,307 | 20.8¢ | 18.5¢ | $1,722 | −$216 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,500 | 91¢ | 97.6¢ | $1,464 | +$99 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,000 | 46¢ | 48.6¢ | $1,457 | +$77 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,484 | 72.4¢ | 95.9¢ | $1,423 | +$348 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Dictionary" this week? | Yes | 1,333 | 98.4¢ | 98.5¢ | $1,312 | +$0.01 | $0 | |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | No | 1,352 | 85.5¢ | 95¢ | $1,284 | +$129 | +$21 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat? | Yes | 1,244 | 98.1¢ | 98.1¢ | $1,221 | −$0.43 | $0 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | No | 1,712 | 38.4¢ | 64.5¢ | $1,104 | +$447 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 1,310 | 79.1¢ | 81¢ | $1,061 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,113 | 58¢ | 92.5¢ | $1,030 | +$384 | $0 | |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,083 | 91.5¢ | 94¢ | $1,018 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5) | largadosypelados | 1,009 | 90¢ | 99.5¢ | $1,004 | +$96 | $0 | |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 710 | 98¢ | 97.8¢ | $694 | −$1.45 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 829 | 57.5¢ | 79.5¢ | $659 | +$182 | $0 | |
| Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms? | No | 380 | 80.4¢ | 95.9¢ | $364 | +$59 | $0 | |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 328 | 87.5¢ | 86¢ | $282 | −$4.96 | −$2,492 | |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? | No | 3,665 | 3.2¢ | 5.2¢ | $191 | +$73 | +$4.15 | |
| Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 1,834 | 41¢ | 8.5¢ | $156 | −$596 | $0 | |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 131 | 95¢ | 95.6¢ | $125 | +$0.72 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? | No | 111 | 86.7¢ | 95.9¢ | $106 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 7? | No | 70 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $70 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
| Obama divorce before 2027? | No | 65 | 96.9¢ | 96.9¢ | $63 | −$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60? | No | 2,523 | 3.2¢ | 2.2¢ | $56 | −$25 | +$11 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | 69¢ | 96.6¢ | $38 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | No | 50 | 58¢ | 60.5¢ | $30 | +$1.25 | $0 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 30 | 95.4¢ | 97.1¢ | $29 | +$0.49 | $0 | |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | No | 25 | 59.7¢ | 87¢ | $22 | +$6.74 | $0 | |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 23 | 82¢ | 91.1¢ | $21 | +$2.07 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | 99.9¢ | $20 | −$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | 99.7¢ | $20 | −$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | 99.6¢ | $20 | −$0.03 | $0 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: September | Nothing | 20 | 99.9¢ | 99.3¢ | $20 | −$0.13 | $0 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027? | No | 280 | 4.1¢ | 3.8¢ | $10 | −$0.89 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 10 | 89¢ | 90.5¢ | $9.05 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? | No | 235 | 4¢ | 3¢ | $7.06 | −$2.35 | $0 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | No | 78 | 6¢ | 9¢ | $7.02 | +$2.34 | $0 | |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 8? | Yes | 6 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $6.04 | +$0.06 | $0 | |
| Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026? | No | 5 | 94¢ | 96.8¢ | $4.83 | +$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | No | 140 | 11.7¢ | 3.5¢ | $4.81 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will "Brian Ronan" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards? | Yes | 612k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will "Walter Trarbach" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards? | Yes | 612k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will "Adam Fisher" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards? | Yes | 612k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards? | Yes | 610k | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$305k | $0 | |
| Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh | Bucknell | 105k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$105 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | Yes | 88.4k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$88 | +$65 | |
| Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week? | No | 84.3k | 12.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.7k | −$334 | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 76.6k | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,549 | −$299 | |
| Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? | No | 43.4k | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,135 | −$4,429 | |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 27.4k | 11.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,225 | −$4,345 | |
| Trump kiss by May 31? | No | 26.1k | 44.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11.5k | −$222 | |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 36 hours? | No | 24.1k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | −$1.27 | |
| Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his Ribbon Cutting Ceremony? | Yes | 20.8k | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,233 | −$6.58 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 13, 2026? | No | 19.7k | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,176 | −$52 | |
| Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | No | 14.6k | 35.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,150 | −$116 | |
| Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi? | Yes | 14.2k | 19.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,720 | −$116 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 13.0k | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$191 | +$61 | |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | Yes | 12.6k | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$61 | $0 | |
| Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? | Yes | 11.9k | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$580 | +$1,535 | |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? | No | 10.0k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026? | No | 10.0k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? | No | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | $0 | |
| Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Secret" this week? | Yes | 9,592 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.67 | +$1.19 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22? | No | 9,471 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$94 | −$27 | |
| ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion: Draw (1-1)? | Yes | 8,859 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$620 | −$79 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | No | 8,241 | 65.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,418 | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 7,357 | 86.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,339 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 28? | No | 7,100 | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$158 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | No | 6,289 | 47.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,977 | −$57 | |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026? | No | 6,196 | 11.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$695 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,544 | 25.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,154 | +$216 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on August 19? | No | 4,058 | 69.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,805 | −$60 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026? | No | 4,002 | 6.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$254 | −$9.49 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April? | No | 3,840 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | No | 3,840 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | $0 | |