sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,225

Tattered-Ephyra

0xf0d…69c5
WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$6,583vol $5.17M
PnL 30d+$7,010gains $6,904 · losses $3,501
PnL 7d+$129win rate 7d 80.0%
Win rate62.4%adj 61.5% · 30d 68.6%
Open value$3,836cash n/a
Positions49 / 298open / all-time
Max drawdown−31.3%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$10.1kbelow peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 62.4% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity69

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yesopen+$2,578Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yesclosed+$2,025Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$1,640US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,573Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Englandclosed+$1,509

Worst markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Noclosed−$2,751Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30? · Yesopen−$2,367US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,627Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yesopen−$1,463Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? · Yesclosed−$1,200

Open positions · 49

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes6,34515.5¢17.5¢$1,114+$130+$2,448
Sweden snap election called in 2026?No84885.3¢83.5¢$708−$15−$6.11
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes85877.4¢80.5¢$691+$26+$112
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?Yes1,08419.4¢21.5¢$233+$23+$7.34
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?Yes91017.2¢20¢$182+$26+$30
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?Yes94916.6¢18.5¢$176+$18+$20
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes16.9k0.5¢1¢$169+$84+$59
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?No20279.6¢78.5¢$159−$2.14+$13
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes33537¢37.5¢$126+$1.68+$18
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?No8973¢77.5¢$69+$4.03+$17
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes11857¢57.5¢$68+$0.59+$0.54
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L?Yes1,2466.6¢4.4¢$54−$28$0
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?Yes4272¢90.5¢$38+$7.77$0
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V?Yes3222.2¢9.8¢$31+$24+$8.93
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?Yes1779.1¢78.7¢$13−$0.06−$294
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?Yes1514¢23¢$3.42+$1.34+$62
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + M?Yes4230.3¢0.2¢$0.85−$0.42$0
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?Yes39.7k7¢0¢$0−$2,782+$416
Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes12.5k10.8¢0¢$0−$1,354−$109
Will the Left Party (V) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes1,36720.9¢0¢$0−$285+$80
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes9074.1¢0¢$0−$37−$1.38
Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes87338.2¢0¢$0−$333−$35
Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes80028¢0¢$0−$224+$133
Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes67924¢0¢$0−$163−$73
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 120-124 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes5950.8¢0¢$0−$4.69+$39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?No38310¢0¢$0−$38+$163
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes20016.7¢0¢$0−$34−$3.36
Will England win on 2026-06-17?No17041¢0¢$0−$70$0
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?Yes1603.1¢0¢$0−$4.96$0
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes14044.7¢0¢$0−$63$0
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 110-114 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes12415.5¢0¢$0−$19+$174
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes1205¢0¢$0−$6.00+$452
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10?Yes12014¢0¢$0−$17−$0.72
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?No11370¢0¢$0−$79−$55
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?Yes1113¢0¢$0−$3.33−$0.10
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Yes1003.5¢0¢$0−$3.50$0
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes6316¢0¢$0−$10−$0.76
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes5073¢0¢$0−$37−$195
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?Yes5024¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes4039¢0¢$0−$16+$127
Will the Green Party (MP) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes3725.8¢0¢$0−$9.55−$46
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes3324¢0¢$0−$7.80+$0.97
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Yes3014¢0¢$0−$4.20$0
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes2313.2¢0¢$0−$3.09+$0.31
Will the Liberals (L) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes101.8¢0¢$0−$0.18$0
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes101.8¢0¢$0−$0.18$0
Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes101.8¢0¢$0−$0.18$0
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes101.8¢0¢$0−$0.18$0
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes101.8¢0¢$0−$0.18$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?16.2¢111$1862%66
BUY YesWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?81¢1,117$90562%66
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?16.2¢326$5362%66
BUY YesWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?80.3¢68$5562%66
BUY YesWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?80.3¢169$13662%66
BUY YesWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?80¢61$4962%66
BUY YesWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?80.1¢411$32962%66
BUY YesWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?94¢294$27662%66
BUY YesWill the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + M?0.3¢228$0.6862%66
BUY YesWill the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L?5.6¢96$5.3862%66
SELL YesWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?82¢2,409$1,97662%66
BUY YesWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?72¢42$3062%66
BUY YesWill the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L?8.4¢164$1462%66
BUY YesWill the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?16.3¢230$3762%66
SELL NoWill Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?68¢50$3462%66
SELL NoWill the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?81¢211$17162%66
SELL YesWill the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?23¢8$1.8462%66
BUY YesWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10?14¢120$1762%66
SELL YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?17.6¢37$6.4862%66
BUY NoExact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Leeds United FC?90¢70$6362%66