sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,501

LinaBell

0xf0e…47d8@xK0neko
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$129kvol $13.0M
PnL 30d+$6,833gains $7,205 · losses $5,693
PnL 7d+$652win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate67.3%adj 66.7% · 30d 67.3%
Open value$50.5kcash n/a
Positions48 / 2,187open / all-time
Max drawdown−62.3%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$126kbelow peak −$184kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 67.3% · shrunk toward 50%67
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity38

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 48

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes13.5k74.1¢96.1¢$13.0k+$2,958+$10.1k
US recession by end of 2026?No10.3k83.3¢93.5¢$9,639+$1,047$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No6,40583.8¢85¢$5,441+$73+$23
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?No4,64983.1¢98.5¢$4,577+$714+$671
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes4,80077.7¢73.5¢$3,528−$201−$0.08
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,97134.5¢34.5¢$3,095+$1.23$0
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No3,39075¢73.5¢$2,492−$52−$55
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No2,64149.8¢63.5¢$1,677+$363$0
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?No1,69460¢93.3¢$1,581+$564+$240
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes109k0.9¢0.9¢$977−$45$0
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No1,00083.5¢95.9¢$958+$124$0
Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?Yes93381.7¢73.5¢$686−$76+$4.16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes2,63233¢20.5¢$540−$329−$25
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No33090.2¢95.4¢$315+$17$0
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Yes32285.1¢97.6¢$315+$40$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes5,78220.7¢5¢$289−$905$0
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Yes2,99524.4¢6.5¢$195−$536−$820
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?No25885¢73¢$189−$31$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes3,6583.1¢4.9¢$179+$65+$3,327
Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election?Yes19285¢88.5¢$170+$6.73$0
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 9?No10888.4¢99.5¢$107+$12$0
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes8,8344.4¢1.2¢$102−$289−$217
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes12058.2¢71.4¢$85+$16+$2,308
Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat?Yes37817.8¢17.2¢$65−$2.40+$1.46
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?No10526¢52¢$55+$27$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,7351.8¢2.4¢$42+$10$0
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?No3995¢98.8¢$39+$1.46$0
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028?No9636.4¢38¢$36+$1.56+$11
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?No4088¢87.3¢$35−$0.28+$24
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes15012¢17.5¢$26+$8.27$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?Yes2397¢99.7¢$23+$0.61$0
Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?Yes4518.3¢5¢$23−$15$0
Will Huang Hung-cheng win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?No2080.1¢98.7¢$20+$3.74+$4.34
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No1987.9¢82.7¢$16−$0.99$0
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes27.5k3.9¢0.1¢$14−$1,067−$1,235
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?Yes22611.9¢4.9¢$11−$16−$54
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?No1280¢91¢$11+$1.32$0
Will Andy Kim vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes1312.5¢8.2¢$11+$7.42+$1.62
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2395.8¢3.2¢$7.51−$6.27+$3.59
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes982.9¢7¢$6.80+$3.96$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No1148.8¢42.5¢$4.71−$0.70+$48
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Yes537¢1.9¢$0.98−$2.73$0
Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1980.2¢0.5¢$0.89+$0.49$0
Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1350.2¢0.5¢$0.67+$0.40+$2.36
Will Matthew Boyle be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1720.2¢0.4¢$0.60+$0.26+$0.79
Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3320.2¢0.1¢$0.17−$0.50$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes558¢1.4¢$0.06−$2.70$0
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?Yes60.7¢1.1¢$0.06+$0.02$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 9?99.8¢145$14567%65
BUY NoWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?26¢105$2767%65
BUY YesWill the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?99¢79$7867%65
BUY YesWill the CAQ win fewer than 1 seat in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?92¢100$9267%65
BUY NoWill the CAQ win 5 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?97.9¢62$6167%65
BUY NoWill the CAQ win 5 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?91.4¢13$1167%65
BUY NoWill the CAQ win 5 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?89.4¢13$1167%65
BUY NoWill the CAQ win 15-19 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?99¢2,818$2,79067%65
BUY YesWill the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?83.4¢86$7267%65
SELL YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?43.4¢364$15867%65
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?98.8¢49$4967%65
BUY NoWill Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?99.7¢626$62467%65
BUY NoWill Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?97.6¢235$22967%65
BUY YesWill the CAQ win 1 seat in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?20.7¢30$6.2067%65
SELL YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?45.2¢3,727$1,68567%65
BUY NoWill Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?85¢258$22067%65
BUY YesWill the CAQ win 1 seat in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?18¢21$3.7067%65
BUY YesWill the CAQ win 1 seat in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?17¢20$3.4267%65
BUY NoWill the CAQ win 25-29 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?98.1¢44$4367%65
BUY NoWill the CAQ win 20-24 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?97¢40$3967%65