PnL all-time+$5.28vol $2,551
PnL 30d+$1.12gains $1.24 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.06win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate90.5%adj 70.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$124cash n/a
Positions1 / 22open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.1%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$5.37below peak $0Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale10
Adjusted win rateraw 90.5% · shrunk toward 50%77
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable45
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Noclosed+$1.34Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? · Noclosed+$1.20Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$0.62Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$0.62Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? · Noclosed+$0.61
Worst markets
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 125 | 99.5¢ | 99.6¢ | $124 | +$0.06 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 99.5¢ | 125 | $124 | 91% | 43 | |||
| SELL No | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 99.4¢ | 124 | $123 | 91% | 43 | |||
| BUY No | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March? | 99.9¢ | 14 | $14 | 91% | 43 | |||
| BUY No | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? | 99.5¢ | 15 | $15 | 91% | 43 | |||
| BUY No | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | 99.4¢ | 13 | $13 | 91% | 43 | |||
| BUY No | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? | 99.9¢ | 13 | $13 | 91% | 43 | |||
| BUY No | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March? | 99.9¢ | 13 | $13 | 91% | 43 | |||
| BUY No | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | 99.9¢ | 15 | $15 | 91% | 43 | |||
| SELL No | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 99.5¢ | 120 | $120 | 91% | 43 | |||
| BUY No | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 99.4¢ | 120 | $120 | 91% | 43 | |||
| SELL No | Trump out as President by March 31? | 99.4¢ | 120 | $120 | 91% | 43 | |||
| BUY No | Trump out as President by March 31? | 99¢ | 120 | $119 | 91% | 43 |