PnL all-time+$9,710vol $354k
PnL 30d+$7,740gains $18.0k · losses $3,593
PnL 7d−$358win rate 7d 90.0%
Win rate87.0%adj 81.3% · 30d 84.6%
Open value$5,152cash n/a
Positions6 / 114open / all-time
Max drawdown−47.3%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 13h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$10.6kbelow peak −$1,917Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 87.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable69
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity53
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,320Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,293Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,266Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Noclosed+$983Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Noclosed+$966
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Noopen−$3,819Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Noopen−$1,841Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,495Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yesopen−$1,367Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$973
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 3,400 | 88.9¢ | 95.8¢ | $3,255 | +$231 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 2,160 | 83.9¢ | 87.8¢ | $1,896 | +$85 | +$18 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | No | 2,336 | 78.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,838 | −$1,981 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 92¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,840 | −$0.96 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 91¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,365 | −$1.65 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? | No | 6 | 83¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$0.04 |
Recent trades
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