sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

jim11

0xf16…b6b5
1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,175vol $144k
PnL 30d+$11gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$2.15win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate47.9%adj 48.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$5,632cash n/a
Positions29 / 151open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.7ylast trade 8mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,095below peak −$1,911Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

21/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 47.9% · shrunk toward 50%21
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No2,15193¢96.6¢$2,076+$76$0
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No1,03296.9¢100¢$1,032+$32$0
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No69893.1¢100¢$698+$48$0
Anthropic acquired in 2025?No53992.8¢100¢$539+$39$0
Will the next UK election be called by December 31?No33789.1¢100¢$337+$37$0
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes25040¢100¢$250+$150$0
OpenAI social app in 2025?Yes23534¢100¢$235+$155$0
OpenAI acquired in 2025?No18790.8¢100¢$187+$17$0
Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?No11984¢100¢$119+$19$0
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?No11289¢100¢$112+$12$0
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?No4786¢100¢$47+$6.51$0
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes1,38830.3¢0¢$0−$420$0
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes95037.9¢0¢$0−$360$0
X and Truth Social merger announced before August?Yes68222¢0¢$0−$150$0
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes67422.3¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes51638.8¢0¢$0−$200$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes51056.9¢0¢$0−$290$0
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes38226.2¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?Yes37631.9¢0¢$0−$120$0
Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?Yes30010¢0¢$0−$30$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? No2179.2¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will 16-18 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Yes15512.9¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No15066.7¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?Yes13330¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?Yes13077.2¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will 13-15 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Yes10420¢0¢$0−$21$0
Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes9542¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes7128¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes3459¢0¢$0−$20$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?47.2¢538$25448%21
SELL NoKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?76¢350$26648%21
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?93¢2,151$2,00048%21
BUY NoKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?80¢250$20048%21
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?52¢538$28048%21
BUY NoKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?80¢100$8048%21
BUY YesAI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?47¢213$10048%21
SELL YesU.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?18.3¢77$1448%21
SELL YesWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?10¢139$1448%21
BUY NoWill Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?93¢538$50048%21
BUY YesWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?19¢105$2048%21
BUY YesIsrael military action against Iran in July?42¢95$4048%21
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? 9.2¢217$2048%21
BUY YesWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?56¢36$2048%21
SELL YesKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?3.6¢148$5.3348%21
SELL YesUK strike on Iran before July?0.5¢670$3.6148%21
SELL NoIsrael announces end of military operations against Iran before July?18¢127$2348%21
SELL YesAnother US military action against Iran by June 30?38.6¢518$20048%21
BUY YesAnother US military action against Iran by June 30?63¢63$4048%21
BUY YesKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?57¢88$5048%21