PnL all-time−$6,285vol $385k
PnL 30d−$9,644gains $4,045 · losses $3,722
PnL 7d−$6,132win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate58.1%adj 56.6% · 30d 69.2%
Open value$13.3kcash n/a
Positions8 / 94open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 2h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2,037below peak −$12.2kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 58.1% · shrunk toward 50%42
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,621US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? · Noclosed+$1,6210 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · Noclosed+$1,574US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,178Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · Yesclosed+$802
Worst markets
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31? · Noopen−$5,151Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · Yesclosed−$2,167Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · Noopen−$2,011Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? · Yesclosed−$1,687Trump renames AI by September 30? · Noopen−$1,662
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 7,465 | 89¢ | 92.5¢ | $6,905 | +$262 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 5,000 | 75.9¢ | 82.5¢ | $4,125 | +$330 | +$81 | |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? | No | 1,607 | 89.2¢ | 92.4¢ | $1,485 | +$51 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,190 | 62.7¢ | 69¢ | $821 | +$75 | $0 | |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31? | No | 7,896 | 65.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,151 | $0 | |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | No | 3,070 | 65.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,011 | $0 | |
| Will Angela Murray be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 9)? | No | 1,679 | 87.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,467 | −$9.16 | |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? | No | 173 | 83¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$144 | −$1,518 |
Recent trades
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