PnL all-time+$1,828vol $95.3k
PnL 30d+$493gains $1,982 · losses $496
PnL 7d+$34win rate 7d 87.5%
Win rate87.5%adj 77.6% · 30d 86.8%
Open value$18.0kcash n/a
Positions8 / 66open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 6h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,421below peak −$669Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale47
Adjusted win rateraw 87.5% · shrunk toward 50%94
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable61
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? · Yesclosed+$571US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yesclosed+$465Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Noclosed+$192US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yesopen+$162Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? · Yesclosed+$130
Worst markets
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yesopen−$761Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yesclosed−$275Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed−$127Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? · Yesclosed−$117Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Noclosed−$88
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 20.1k | 81.3¢ | 77.5¢ | $15.6k | −$761 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 1,434 | 80.2¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,312 | +$162 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 553 | 72.7¢ | 82.5¢ | $456 | +$54 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 388 | 77.2¢ | 81¢ | $314 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 237 | 75.8¢ | 70.8¢ | $167 | −$12 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 254 | 59¢ | 62.5¢ | $159 | +$8.90 | $0 | |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 101 | 52¢ | 65.2¢ | $66 | +$13 | $0 | |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | No | 30 | 93.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$28 | $0 |
Recent trades
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