sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,336

forgetfuldory

0xf1e…6f6f
PnL 10k+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$21.2kvol $228k
PnL 30d+$20.3kgains $20.1k · losses $674
PnL 7d−$526win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 56.0% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$11.0kcash n/a
Positions15 / 20open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.7%of equity peak
Account age31dlast trade 14d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$20.8kbelow peak −$2,020Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d51
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes5,66888.6¢79.5¢$4,506−$517$0
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?No2,77787.9¢77.5¢$2,152−$290$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No1,31456.7¢84.5¢$1,110+$365−$14
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No3,57643.2¢30¢$1,073−$470$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes66434.1¢84.5¢$561+$335+$0.18
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No52976.4¢98.3¢$520+$115$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes2,19728¢22.5¢$494−$121$0
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes32525¢65¢$211+$130$0
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes2,39727.4¢8.5¢$204−$454$0
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes78724.1¢8¢$63−$127$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes17.8k0.9¢0.4¢$62−$106−$5.34
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes3128.1¢68.6¢$21+$13$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes6111.9¢2.9¢$17+$5.75+$0.68
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes9731¢0.7¢$6.81−$2.92−$0.43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No538.1¢15.5¢$0.77−$1.13+$1,839

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.9¢597$5.3880%32
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.9¢1,227$1180%32
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?34¢659$22480%32
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?28¢37$1080%32
BUY NoWill 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?44¢245$10880%32
BUY YesAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?91¢55$5080%32
BUY NoWill 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?44¢439$19380%32
BUY NoWill 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?44¢137$6080%32
BUY YesWill 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?32.6¢96$3180%32
BUY NoWill 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?44¢624$27480%32
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?28¢2,063$57880%32
BUY NoWill 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?89¢950$84580%32
BUY YesAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?89¢2,850$2,53780%32
BUY YesAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?89¢2,025$1,80280%32
BUY NoWill 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?43¢1,050$45280%32
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?2¢346$6.9280%32
BUY NoWill 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?87¢309$26880%32
BUY NoWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?63¢100$6380%32
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?1¢9,985$10080%32
BUY YesWill 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?24.9¢78$1980%32