PnL all-time+$4,063vol $328k
PnL 30d+$561gains $501 · losses $20
PnL 7d+$23win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate73.9%adj 73.0% · 30d 60.0%
Open value$115cash n/a
Positions5 / 494open / all-time
Max drawdown−47.4%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 22h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$4,070below peak −$2,343Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 73.9% · shrunk toward 50%83
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity53
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30? · Noclosed+$2,532US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? · Yesclosed+$569Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yesclosed+$468Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? · Noclosed+$378Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15? · Yesclosed+$310
Worst markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,546US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · Noclosed−$663Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Noopen−$555U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026? · Noclosed−$485Israel announces ceasefire by January 16? · Noclosed−$477
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 150 | 66¢ | 76.5¢ | $115 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 1,000 | 55.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$555 | $0 | |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? | No | 150 | 42.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$63 | $0 | |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | Team Liquid | 100 | 56¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | Team Liquid | 100 | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$51 | $0 |
Recent trades
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