PnL all-time−$817vol $11.6k
PnL 30d−$776gains $0.18 · losses $817
PnL 7d−$28win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate33.3%adj 47.8% · 30d 33.3%
Open value$435cash n/a
Positions1 / 4open / all-time
Max drawdown−89.8%of equity peak
Account age23dlast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$776below peak −$898Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
13/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 33.3% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable20
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity10
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? | No | 1,130 | 35.9¢ | 38.5¢ | $435 | +$29 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? | 32¢ | 752 | $241 | 33% | 13 | |||
| SELL Yes | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | 5¢ | 5,125 | $256 | 33% | 13 | |||
| BUY No | Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? | 32¢ | 178 | $57 | 33% | 13 | |||
| SELL Yes | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | 20¢ | 1 | $0.20 | 33% | 13 | |||
| SELL No | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | 69¢ | 1 | $0.69 | 33% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | 15¢ | 150 | $23 | 33% | 13 | |||
| BUY No | Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? | 54¢ | 40 | $22 | 33% | 13 | |||
| SELL Yes | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | 14¢ | 100 | $14 | 33% | 13 |