PnL all-time−$1,329vol $259k
PnL 30d+$14.8kgains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$8,089win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate83.3%adj 57.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$43.6kcash n/a
Positions8 / 14open / all-time
Max drawdown−50.5%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 4mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$26.8kbelow peak $0Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
14/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 83.3% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable38
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity50
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yesopen+$9,188Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yesopen+$5,987Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yesopen+$5,178Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yesopen+$4,305Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yesopen+$1,834
Worst markets
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 23.4k | 23.2¢ | 62.5¢ | $14.6k | +$9,188 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 18.6k | 16.9¢ | 49¢ | $9,137 | +$5,987 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 13.7k | 27.6¢ | 65.5¢ | $8,945 | +$5,178 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 18.4k | 13¢ | 36.4¢ | $6,695 | +$4,305 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 4,139 | 40.2¢ | 84.5¢ | $3,497 | +$1,834 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 860 | 27.8¢ | 80.5¢ | $693 | +$453 | $0 | |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 144k | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,445 | −$72 | |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | Timberwolves | 100 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$23 | −$0.53 |
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