| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | Yes | 11.2k | 21¢ | 12¢ | $1,342 | −$1,009 | −$662 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 4,000 | 36.1¢ | 32.5¢ | $1,300 | −$144 | +$135 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 4,000 | 31.8¢ | 31.5¢ | $1,260 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | No | 2,175 | 38.4¢ | 55.5¢ | $1,207 | +$372 | +$125 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 3,668 | 22¢ | 24¢ | $880 | +$75 | +$468 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | No | 1,605 | 46.8¢ | 48¢ | $771 | +$19 | +$42 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,025 | 54.8¢ | 75¢ | $769 | +$207 | +$211 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 1,065 | 58.6¢ | 68¢ | $724 | +$100 | +$9.00 | |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,003 | 54.6¢ | 63.5¢ | $637 | +$90 | +$39 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,015 | 49.4¢ | 52.9¢ | $537 | +$36 | +$231 | |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2,637 | 20.3¢ | 19.5¢ | $514 | −$20 | −$7.08 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | Yes | 6,217 | 26.8¢ | 7.5¢ | $466 | −$1,200 | −$504 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3,000 | 42¢ | 15.5¢ | $465 | −$795 | +$1,288 | |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | No | 2,500 | 20.6¢ | 18.5¢ | $463 | −$53 | +$33 | |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | Yes | 10.2k | 4¢ | 3.8¢ | $384 | −$29 | +$37 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,081 | 37¢ | 34.5¢ | $373 | −$27 | +$14 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 600 | 59.4¢ | 61.5¢ | $369 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 595 | 47.6¢ | 57¢ | $339 | +$56 | +$75 | |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 570 | 50.1¢ | 58¢ | $330 | +$45 | +$38 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 17.5¢ | 11¢ | $330 | −$194 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 39¢ | 30.5¢ | $305 | −$85 | $0 | |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 528 | 47.2¢ | 57¢ | $301 | +$52 | +$100 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 1,200 | 40.3¢ | 24.5¢ | $294 | −$189 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 1,500 | 23¢ | 19.5¢ | $293 | −$53 | $0 | |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 1,703 | 19.2¢ | 17¢ | $289 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 31.4¢ | 26.5¢ | $265 | −$49 | −$8.50 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,125 | 16.7¢ | 23.5¢ | $264 | +$76 | +$83 | |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 910 | 34.1¢ | 26.5¢ | $241 | −$69 | +$42 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | Yes | 5,734 | 15.7¢ | 3.9¢ | $221 | −$677 | −$204 | |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | No | 423 | 42.7¢ | 47.5¢ | $201 | +$20 | +$28 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 599 | 26¢ | 28.5¢ | $171 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 1,470 | 11.9¢ | 11.5¢ | $169 | −$6.07 | +$160 | |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 2,600 | 16.7¢ | 6.5¢ | $169 | −$265 | +$17 | |
| Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | No | 448 | 36.5¢ | 35.5¢ | $159 | −$4.61 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,500 | 39.4¢ | 4.5¢ | $156 | −$1,224 | +$72 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,185 | 29.3¢ | 3.7¢ | $153 | −$1,072 | +$388 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,330 | 41.5¢ | 6.5¢ | $151 | −$816 | +$42 | |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 13¢ | 14¢ | $140 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | No | 217 | 56.1¢ | 60¢ | $130 | +$8.54 | +$42 | |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 831 | 26.6¢ | 14¢ | $116 | −$105 | −$12 | |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | No | 302 | 21.7¢ | 35.5¢ | $107 | +$42 | +$24 | |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 1,726 | 14.2¢ | 6¢ | $104 | −$141 | +$89 | |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | Yes | 478 | 25.4¢ | 21.5¢ | $103 | −$19 | +$33 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 834 | 9.2¢ | 10.9¢ | $91 | +$14 | +$17 | |
| Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | No | 182 | 53.8¢ | 45¢ | $82 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | No | 262 | 29¢ | 29¢ | $76 | +$0.08 | +$0.31 | |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | No | 108 | 60.9¢ | 66.5¢ | $72 | +$6.02 | $0 | |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 366 | 23.9¢ | 18¢ | $66 | −$22 | −$19 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | $65 | −$45 | +$100 | |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? | Yes | 576 | 7¢ | 9.7¢ | $56 | +$16 | +$0.52 | |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | Yes | 812 | 6.7¢ | 6.5¢ | $53 | −$1.26 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 440 | 11.7¢ | 11¢ | $48 | −$3.18 | +$11 | |
| Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 77 | 56.4¢ | 62.5¢ | $48 | +$4.72 | +$137 | |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 374 | 8¢ | 12¢ | $45 | +$15 | +$18 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? | Yes | 1,113 | 3.6¢ | 3.8¢ | $42 | +$2.59 | +$35 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 1,365 | 4.1¢ | 2.6¢ | $35 | −$22 | +$31 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 444 | 11.3¢ | 7¢ | $31 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027? | Yes | 576 | 4.5¢ | 4.1¢ | $24 | −$2.13 | $0 | |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 389 | 6¢ | 6¢ | $23 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Yes | 170 | 35.1¢ | 12.5¢ | $21 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? | Yes | 558 | 3.8¢ | 3.7¢ | $20 | −$0.69 | +$22 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 21.7¢ | 0.8¢ | $12 | −$313 | $0 | |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 4.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $7.50 | −$123 | −$1.34 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2,000 | 0.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $7.00 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | Yes | 138 | 11.1¢ | 5¢ | $6.92 | −$8.38 | −$41 | |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1,729 | 7.9¢ | 0.2¢ | $2.59 | −$133 | +$38 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | No | 22 | 36¢ | 11.5¢ | $2.51 | −$5.34 | $0 | |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 5,001 | 1.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.50 | −$92 | $0 | |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 5,000 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.50 | −$52 | $0 | |
| Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 964 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | $2.41 | +$0.48 | $0 | |
| Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 683 | 0.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $2.05 | +$1.37 | $0 | |
| Will The Dreamed Adventure win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 675 | 0.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $2.02 | +$1.35 | $0 | |
| Will Hope win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 780 | 0.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $1.95 | +$1.17 | $0 | |
| Will Sheep in the Box win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 715 | 0.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $1.79 | +$1.07 | $0 | |
| Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 1,136 | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $1.70 | +$0.57 | $0 | |
| Will All of a Sudden win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 1,126 | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $1.69 | +$0.56 | $0 | |
| Will The Man I Love win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 581 | 0.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $1.45 | +$0.87 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? | Yes | 27 | 2¢ | 2.8¢ | $0.75 | +$0.21 | $0 | |
| Will Bitter Christmas win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 182 | 0.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $0.64 | +$0.46 | $0 | |
| Will The Beloved win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 238 | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.36 | +$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 202 | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.30 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Minions & Monsters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 198 | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.30 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Saturn Return win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 1 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 10.1k | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$149 | −$20 | |
| Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | Yes | 7,515 | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$293 | −$10 | |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | No | 5,005 | 22.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,108 | −$29 | |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | No | 3,989 | 9.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$382 | −$101 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,846 | 6.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$174 | −$2.14 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? | No | 2,615 | 10.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$276 | −$4.19 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? | No | 2,500 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$751 | −$26 | |
| Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | Yes | 2,500 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2,000 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.00 | −$0.40 | |
| Will Scott Bottoms win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 1,846 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | +$14 | |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 1,600 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32 | −$135 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,576 | 17.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$281 | +$124 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | No | 1,550 | 43.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$680 | +$27 | |
| Starmer out by August 31, 2026? | No | 1,510 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$135 | −$0.23 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,505 | 30.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$462 | −$3.14 | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? | No | 1,387 | 15.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$216 | $0 | |
| Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky? | Yes | 1,313 | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$42 | −$1.10 | |