PnL all-time+$1,687vol $57.6k
PnL 30d+$1,744gains $3,106 · losses $1,130
PnL 7d−$139win rate 7d 34.9%
Win rate38.1%adj 40.4% · 30d 38.1%
Open value$633cash n/a
Positions18 / 102open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age11dlast trade 4h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
52/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale46
Adjusted win rateraw 38.1% · shrunk toward 50%1
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? · Yesclosed+$918Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on October 21? · Yesclosed+$674Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21? · Yesclosed+$384Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 22? · Yesclosed+$166Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 27? · Noclosed+$133
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 24? · Yesclosed−$104Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 29? · Yesclosed−$99Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24? · Yesclosed−$97Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26? · Yesclosed−$92Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 21? · Yesopen−$81
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 1? | Yes | 628 | 38.5¢ | 44.5¢ | $279 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | Yes | 192 | 46.9¢ | 62¢ | $119 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on November 1? | Yes | 250 | 33¢ | 34¢ | $85 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 1? | Yes | 181 | 35¢ | 35.5¢ | $64 | +$0.91 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 31? | Yes | 165 | 42¢ | 38¢ | $63 | −$6.60 | −$6.00 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 1? | Yes | 151 | 8.9¢ | 13¢ | $20 | +$6.26 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 1? | Yes | 50 | 5¢ | 6.2¢ | $3.08 | +$0.58 | $0 |
Recent trades
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