sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,956

rabbit007

0xf2a…21fb
PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsOtherWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$45.3kvol $2.60M
PnL 30d+$5,417gains $16.2k · losses $8,871
PnL 7d+$2,507win rate 7d 28.1%
Win rate46.9%adj 47.1% · 30d 37.5%
Open value$13.7kcash n/a
Positions33 / 796open / all-time
Max drawdown−22.7%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$48.0kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale67
Adjusted win rateraw 46.9% · shrunk toward 50%18
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity77

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate? · Noclosed+$8,290US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? · Yesclosed+$4,898Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people? · Yesclosed+$4,407Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Isaias? · Yesclosed+$3,863Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yesclosed+$3,832

Worst markets

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? · Noclosed−$2,171Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,805Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? · Yesclosed−$1,701Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yesclosed−$1,661Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? · Yesclosed−$1,631

Open positions · 33

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Yes4,48432.4¢97.7¢$4,381+$2,927$0
Surigae makes landfall in Japan?No1,21181.4¢99.7¢$1,207+$222$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes1,50068.3¢69¢$1,035+$10$0
Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No1,04568.9¢94.2¢$984+$265$0
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes96263.4¢77¢$740+$131+$60
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes85678.4¢77¢$659−$12$0
Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.90 in September?No66391.6¢99.4¢$659+$52$0
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?No63789¢90¢$573+$6.37$0
Will Isaias make landfall in Louisiana as a hurricane?No51681.4¢93¢$480+$60$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Louisiana by November 30, 2026?No37575.6¢85¢$319+$35$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes40074¢77¢$308+$12$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in South Carolina by November 30, 2026?No29689.9¢95.6¢$282+$17$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes3,00018.7¢9¢$270−$290$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Texas by November 30, 2026?No26788¢93¢$248+$13$0
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?No1,3469.3¢16.5¢$222+$97+$96
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes1,00028¢21.5¢$215−$65$0
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?No23981.2¢82.5¢$197+$3.18$0
Will Isaias peak at Category 3?Yes30833.3¢63¢$194+$92$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina by November 30, 2026?No19291.1¢93.5¢$179+$4.53$0
Will Isaias make landfall in Mississippi as a hurricane?No16681.2¢93¢$154+$20$0
Will SI.gov launch by October 31?No40031.5¢26¢$104−$22$0
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?No12366.5¢77.3¢$95+$13$0
Will Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane?Yes5848.6¢67¢$39+$11+$27
Will Rachel peak at Category 1 or weaker?No3471¢99.5¢$33+$9.56$0
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00 and $2.10 in September?No3291.6¢93¢$30+$0.42$0
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No2675¢96.6¢$25+$5.70$0
All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?No4042¢60.5¢$24+$7.40$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Florida by November 30, 2026?No6179.3¢35¢$21−$27$0
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.40 and $2.50 in September?No2090¢95.8¢$19+$1.15$0
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?No2188¢87.5¢$18−$0.10$0
Will Isaias peak at Category 4?Yes46514.9¢2.5¢$12−$58$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?No554¢88¢$4.40+$1.70$0
Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Yes2,85419.9¢0.1¢$1.43−$566$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?0.1¢150$0.1547%62
SELL YesWill the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Cristobal?0.1¢135$0.1447%62
BUY YesWill Isaias peak at Category 3?33¢40$1347%62
BUY YesWill Isaias peak at Category 3?33.3¢268$8947%62
BUY YesWill Isaias peak at Category 4?14.9¢465$6947%62
BUY NoWill SI.gov launch by October 31?31.5¢400$12647%62
SELL YesWill Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane?64.9¢192$12547%62
SELL NoWill Isaias make landfall in Alabama as a hurricane?69.2¢274$19047%62
SELL YesWill there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?0.1¢1,046$1.0547%62
BUY NoWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?54¢5$2.7047%62
BUY NoWill Isaias make landfall in Alabama as a hurricane?73.6¢93$6947%62
BUY NoWill Isaias make landfall in Mississippi as a hurricane?81.2¢166$13547%62
BUY NoWill Isaias make landfall in Alabama as a hurricane?59.7¢181$10847%62
BUY NoWill a hurricane make landfall in Texas by November 30, 2026?89¢117$10447%62
BUY NoWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?62.7¢19$1247%62
BUY NoWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?67.2¢105$7047%62
BUY YesWill Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane?49¢60$2947%62
BUY YesWill Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane?48.5¢190$9247%62
BUY NoWill Isaias make landfall in Louisiana as a hurricane?81.4¢516$42047%62
BUY YesWill there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?90¢260$23447%62