PnL all-time−$47vol $51.5k
PnL 30d−$1.89gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1.76win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate65.2%adj 58.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,925cash n/a
Positions3 / 26open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.3%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 11h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$34below peak −$33Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
34/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 65.2% · shrunk toward 50%45
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity97
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? · Yesclosed+$14Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yesclosed+$5.20Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$4.42Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions? · Yesclosed+$2.24UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · Topuriaclosed+$1.41
Worst markets
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Noclosed−$21Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$18Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · Yesopen−$12Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League? · Yesclosed−$9.05Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025? · Noclosed−$7.00
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 3,001 | 97.3¢ | 97.3¢ | $2,918 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 14 | 56¢ | 48.4¢ | $6.92 | −$1.08 | $0 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | Yes | 31 | 38.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | −$0.22 |
Recent trades
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